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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion


RIC Airport
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The seal is broken, will see what is reported when the CLI comes out this afternoon.

There might've been 0.1", which of course, an improvement from last year. :rolleyes:

 

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Wakefield sent out a statement earlier.

 

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
330 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2023

VAZ048-062-064-069-075-076-083-509>522-111200-
Fluvanna-Goochland-Caroline-Powhatan-Westmoreland-Richmond-
New Kent-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-
Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield-
Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-
Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-
Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen-
Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-
Including the cities of Bybee, Central Plains, Cunningham,
Lake Monticello, Nahor, Palmyra, Troy, Goochland, Corbin,
Burruss Corner, Cedar Fork, Dawn, Fine Creek Mills, Flat Rock,
Goodwins Store, Subletts, Worshams, Clayville, Genito,
Sandy Point, Westmoreland, Colonial Beach, Leedstown, Oak Grove,
Potomac Beach, Potomac Mills, Naylors Beach, Downing, Emmerton,
Ethel, Farnham, Haynesville, Kennard, Bottoms Bridge,
Browns Corner, Mountcastle, New Kent Airport, Orapax Farms,
Quinton, Talleysville, Louisa, Mineral, Ashland, Mechanicsville,
Bon Air, Midlothian, Chesterfield, Chester, Colonial Heights,
Richmond, Sandston, Aylett, King William, West Point, Beazley,
Biscoe, Henley Fork, Indian Neck, Newtown, Owenton,
Saint Stephens Church, King And Queen Court House, Tappahannock,
and Dunnsville
330 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2023

...LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION THIS MORNING...

Rain has changed over to snow across central and northeast
Virginia early this morning. There may be localized heavy burst
of snow. Temperatures are 32-34F, therefore, accumulation will be
primarily on grassy and elevated surface. However, cannot rule
out a slushy accumulation on roadways where there are localized
higher snowfall rates.

Snow and rain will end by 7 A.M. this morning.
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3 hours ago, Inudaw said:

First flakes of the season for Richmond metro area.   A few hours to go.  Might get a coating if it stays heavy enough. 

3 hours ago, SoCoWx said:

It is really coming down in the Fan. Beautiful to see after last “winter”.

26 minutes ago, Rhino16 said:

Looks like you all got more than us, which looks like what was modeled closer to the event, guess we’ll see later.

Hopefully not the last, looking for a big event later on. We deserve it!

Thank you for the snow pics, @snowchill! Looks like Powhatan and Louisa Counties are the only school districts closed, but there are a slew of delays copied from NBC12's website. 

 

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Despite what is being advertised as an unfavorable wintery pattern heading into late December and early January, temperatures on the 12z Euro ensembles for Richmond and Norfolk didn't look torchy, at least now. There are lots of 40s and 50s for highs and a fair amount of subfreezing lows at RIC, although Norfolk's lows were slightly elevated.

Today's 18z operational GFS run, however, did have 60s at Richmond and Norfolk for highs on Christmas Day, so of course, things could trend warmer as we get closer. I'm personally rooting for seasonable temperatures while we go through this upcoming pattern because it seems like the last 3-4 years, we've been prone to torch (70+) more often than not. 

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20 minutes ago, RIC Airport said:

Despite what is being advertised as an unfavorable wintery pattern heading into late December and early January, temperatures on the 12z Euro ensembles for Richmond and Norfolk didn't look torchy, at least now. There are lots of 40s and 50s for highs and a fair amount of subfreezing lows at RIC, although Norfolk's lows were slightly elevated.

Today's 18z operational GFS run, however, did have 60s at Richmond and Norfolk for highs on Christmas Day, so of course, things could trend warmer as we get closer. I'm personally rooting for seasonable temperatures while we go through this upcoming pattern because it seems like the last 3-4 years, we've been prone to torch (70+) more often than not. 

12Z Euro and 18Z GFS takes the next storm out to sea. If true, we'll have a chance to dry out.

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3 hours ago, ldub23 said:

Cat2 hurricane strength

 

ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_us_50.png

Yeah, looks like GFS went back west at 00z and the 06z run followed suit, @ldub23. Yay!.... I guess, if you want a winter time coastal that gives us rain and not snow. :thumbsdown:

Also, GFS is still trying to push us into the 60s just in time for Christmas and the day after ahead of a storm that tracks through the Ohio Valley.

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51 minutes ago, RIC Airport said:

Yeah, looks like GFS went back west at 00z and the 06z run followed suit, @ldub23. Yay!.... I guess, if you want a winter time coastal that gives us rain and not snow. :thumbsdown:

Also, GFS is still trying to push us into the 60s just in time for Christmas and the day after ahead of a storm that tracks through the Ohio Valley.

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No cold anywhere

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The GFS is still stubbornly further west. Below is today's 06Z where the coastal stalls and meanders off the coast for most of next week, then tries to end the precip as a mix and snow for parts of the state as colder air gets drawn in. 

Widespread 1-3" of rain for the region, with some places 3-4"+. The El Nino wet pattern that we were waiting for 3-4 months ago, is certainly here as of 3 weeks ago. Now we just need these coastals to get timed with cold. Time will tell.

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13 minutes ago, RIC Airport said:

The El Nino wet pattern that we were waiting for 3-4 months ago, is certainly here as of 3 weeks ago. Now we just need these coastals to get timed with cold. Time will tell.

Still, no signs of a torch, if anything the Euro Ensembles trended cooler toward the end, but certainly the temps are nothing notable for December if you're looking for true cold. 

Below are the Euro Ensemble mean daily temps for Richmond and Norfolk the next 15 days.

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4 hours ago, RIC Airport said:

The GFS is still stubbornly further west. Below is today's 06Z where the coastal stalls and meanders off the coast for most of next week, then tries to end the precip as a mix and snow for parts of the state as colder air gets drawn in. 

Widespread 1-3" of rain for the region, with some places 3-4"+. The El Nino wet pattern that we were waiting for 3-4 months ago, is certainly here as of 3 weeks ago. Now we just need these coastals to get timed with cold. Time will tell.

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Not seeing any drastic changes on the 12Z GFS for the weekend coastal, precip totals were still 2-3" for many areas. Rain looks to start Sunday afternoon. 

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15 hours ago, Rhino16 said:

I was always leaning towards the GFS because it’s just been doing better lately. I’ll take more rain!

The 12Z GFS was farther east with the track of the coastal storm than the last 2 or 3 GFS runs.

The strongest winds are along I-95 and east. The arrival of the rain is earlier Sunday morning with the heaviest in the afternoon and evening. 

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