Bubbler86 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 1 minute ago, TimB84 said: Weak, disorganized and looks like it’ll be pushed south. Here come the 50/50 Low posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 Aleet, Aleet-Jan 3rd and 4th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Aleet, Aleet-Jan 4th. Watch the son-of-a-b***h cut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 Just now, TimB84 said: Watch the son-of-a-bitch cut. Technically it should not if I am reading things correctly. It is a bit far north though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 1 minute ago, TimB84 said: Watch the son-of-a-bitch cut. Reforming over the S/E Coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Technically it should not if I am reading things correctly. It is a bit far north though. Yeah looks actually decent. A nice trackable D13 threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 Just now, TimB84 said: Yeah looks actually decent. A nice trackable D13 threat. Right in our wheelhouse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 Just saw the GFS - thing I like is that the progression leading up to 1/3 makes sense. Doesn't mean it will happen but the potential result is not outlandish. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 Nooners...40 and winds 20-25 with gusts to low 30's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Just saw the GFS - thing I like is that the progression leading up to 1/3 makes sense. Doesn't mean it will happen but the potential result is not outlandish. Wish it was a day earlier on the weekend but I agree its at least feasible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: LOL. Was just getting ready to post that. Would offer what the pattern suggests - a snow>mix type of storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Nooners...40 and winds 20-25 with gusts to low 30's. A balmy 45 here and windy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: LOL. Was just getting ready to post that. Would offer what the pattern suggests - a snow>mix type of storm. GFS gets back to regularly scheduled programming in the 300's. Some will say its mix over PA but the low is in Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: A balmy 45 here and windy. Your grass is growing as you type! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: GFS gets back to regularly scheduled programming in the 300's. Some will say its mix over PA but the low is in Wisconsin. And as always, the ridge wins its battle against the trough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Your grass is growing as you type! Deep, deep green... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 3 minutes ago, TimB84 said: And as always, the ridge wins its battle against the trough. It's sort of a 50/50 this time....it wins but not as it did/will in late December. Much closer call. Of course this in mid to late 300's. Lot's of weenies will be mashing F5 hoping a 390 and 396 map come up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: It's sort of a 50/50 this time....it wins but not as it did/will in late December. Much closer call. Of course this in mid to late 300's. I’d still classify the long range part of this GFS as “good”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 3 minutes ago, TimB84 said: I’d still classify the long range part of this GFS as “good”. Yea, I added on to my post stating that the ridge was not nearly as pushy vs. now. And that weenies want to see the 396 map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Yea, I added on to my post stating that the ridge was not nearly as pushy vs. now. And that weenies want to see the 396 map. I see that. But make no mistake about it, next week is shaping up to be a torchfest so the long range is the only game in town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, TimB84 said: I see that. But make no mistake about it, next week is shaping up to be a torchfest so the long range is the only game in town. MDT sitting at +5.2 right now. Make a run for 6? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 @Itstrainingtime, if you look at the Christmas GFS 18Z map, make sure you check 0Z for the 26th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: MDT sitting at +5.2 right now. Make a run for 6? I could see it. Looks like MDT easily blew past its forecast high of 42 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 1 minute ago, TimB84 said: I could see it. Looks like MDT easily blew past its forecast high of 42 today. Its not Canderson level but if they get between 6-7 that is a sneaky torch month as it really has not seemed that warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 24 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: @Itstrainingtime, if you look at the Christmas GFS 18Z map, make sure you check 0Z for the 26th. This one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: This one? The one where it gets between 60 and 65. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: The one where it gets between 60 and 65. The one where the “STUPID ORANGE” advances into the MDT area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The one where it gets between 60 and 65. 3 minutes ago, TimB84 said: The one where the “STUPID ORANGE” advances into the MDT area. In an era where we can count on very little, we can always count on warmth. Always. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 The other thing that’s mildly interesting is how far out of agreement the GFS is on Monday. GFS suggests wintry precip, everything else puts PA firmly in the warm sector. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now