Chinook Posted February 8, 2022 Author Share Posted February 8, 2022 It has been a snowy time for me, and a bunch of the country, but not far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 Yeah that map is extremely wrong for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 My assumption has been that out further west they had a really good early season with some huge storms. Would be interesting to see the seasonal data, as I predict that it may be opposite....out west looking ok, but along the front range we would be pretty far behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 9, 2022 Author Share Posted February 9, 2022 The models today have some snow for Colorado on Wednesday Feb 16. GEFS ensemble means say a 500mb trough dips down to Flagstaff AZ. If it does happen, it is keeping with the theme of mid-week snow. The GFS in fact says the snow starts at 09z on Wednesday, which is 2:00AM. Obviously, don't expect this to be the exact timing. On visible satellite, you can still see the band of snow cover from January 25th going from Greeley and Loveland towards Goodland Kansas a lot of ensemble members have something for NE Colorado (for now) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 Heading out to Bozeman, MT on the 19th for a few days of skiing at Bridger and Big Sky, and I'm definitely getting concerned about the warmth and lack of snow. A week or two it looked like the pattern was going to shift, but now it appears that any cool-downs will be transient and any precipitation minimal. I'm committed either way, and am hoping it's not too much of a bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 3 hours ago, PWMan said: Heading out to Bozeman, MT on the 19th for a few days of skiing at Bridger and Big Sky, and I'm definitely getting concerned about the warmth and lack of snow. A week or two it looked like the pattern was going to shift, but now it appears that any cool-downs will be transient and any precipitation minimal. I'm committed either way, and am hoping it's not too much of a bust. Really, as a transplanted New Englander, even this year's "marginal" season is not bad at all by the standards we grew up with. Most areas (just checked Big Sky too) are 3/4 open, and melt out is not nearly as early or as dramatic as Eastern resorts due to higher elevations and dry air. All you need are 3-4 inches of powder on a decent base to have fun, and no reason that can't happen between now and next week. Enjjoy, and use LOTS of sunscreen! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 2 hours ago, mayjawintastawm said: Really, as a transplanted New Englander, even this year's "marginal" season is not bad at all by the standards we grew up with. Most areas (just checked Big Sky too) are 3/4 open, and melt out is not nearly as early or as dramatic as Eastern resorts due to higher elevations and dry air. All you need are 3-4 inches of powder on a decent base to have fun, and no reason that can't happen between now and next week. Enjjoy, and use LOTS of sunscreen! Thanks! I do have to keep reminding myself that things out there are more forgiving than in New England, where a couple warm/damp days can really wreak havoc and take a while to recover from. This will be my boys' first time skiing out west (I was actually born in Bozeman and learned at Big Sky), and I've been prepping them for the higher elevation. As Mainers we're not accustomed to thinking about sunscreen this time of year.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 11, 2022 Author Share Posted February 11, 2022 Winter weather advisory for Denver today, for 2-5" It looks like the snow bands will come in between 3:00 and 5:00 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 19 hours ago, PWMan said: Thanks! I do have to keep reminding myself that things out there are more forgiving than in New England, where a couple warm/damp days can really wreak havoc and take a while to recover from. This will be my boys' first time skiing out west (I was actually born in Bozeman and learned at Big Sky), and I've been prepping them for the higher elevation. As Mainers we're not accustomed to thinking about sunscreen this time of year.... Ayuh. Gonna look like a lawbsta' if ya nawt careful! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 7 hours ago, Chinook said: Winter weather advisory for Denver today, for 2-5" It looks like the snow bands will come in between 3:00 and 5:00 Dumping here, just getting into a band. Started at 2 PM, 2" so far and this is close to an inch an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 12, 2022 Author Share Posted February 12, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 12, 2022 Author Share Posted February 12, 2022 Some information on Twitter says there has been more than 6" in some areas around Denver. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 5.3" here at 11 PM, still with maybe 1/2-1 hour to go but I'm not staying up. Will measure once more in the AM. EDIT: 5.5" final at 8 AM 2/12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Another minor storm here, 3" Still no single storms over 5" yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 1 hour ago, smokeybandit said: Another minor storm here, 3" Still no single storms over 5" yet Smokey, where in Parker are you? You must be threading the needle between the bands that have been over metro Denver and the higher elevation upslope on the south side of town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 6 hours ago, mayjawintastawm said: Smokey, where in Parker are you? You must be threading the needle between the bands that have been over metro Denver and the higher elevation upslope on the south side of town. I'm in the small portion of Parker that spills over into Elbert County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 2 hours ago, smokeybandit said: I'm in the small portion of Parker that spills over into Elbert County OK, I have no good explanation then. You're probably somewhere around 6400 ft elevation, which should help upslope. Then again, most places east of E-470 have been really, really dry this winter. The little storm yesterday yielded 0.42" WE at our place, the wettest day since late June of last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 13, 2022 Author Share Posted February 13, 2022 As for me, I didn't get any one day over 0.42" in between August 19th-20th and December 31st-January 1st. The snow storm for this week will most likely be in the range of 06z Wednesday to 06z Thursday, and the models have lower snow amounts all across the board, basically, despite a nice location of the 500mb low. I guess we should still be on the lookout for the snow to be impactful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 14, 2022 Author Share Posted February 14, 2022 Here is the GFS for later this week. The snow should start some time in the middle of the day on Wednesday, maybe 2:00PM or later. The models have been showing 0.5" to 0.7" QPF for the foothills up to 10000ft, and somewhat lower, possibly 0.3" QPF for the I-25 corridor. Gee, I'm not quite sure I believe the 31"-40" at the Iowa/Missouri border yet. As for Missouri, the NAM and GFS have a major snow for Kansas City, but the UKMET, Canadian, and Euro take it south of Kansas City. So, pretty interesting disagreement at this point in time. The NAM has kind of a nasty zone of sleet south of Kansas City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 Winter Storm Watch for Wed afternoon/night just issued for the northern and central Front Range urban corridor. Seems a bit borderline- ? wonder if something changed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 and... crickets. Meh. What if they gave a watch and nobody came? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
n1vek Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 40 minutes ago, mayjawintastawm said: and... crickets. Meh. What if they gave a watch and nobody came? In their recent AFD update acknowledged this will likely be an advisory level event outside of some areas up against and in the foothills. I’m glad this storm will spread a bit more wealth up at the resorts. They’ve been too dry since New Years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 I may finally break the streak of 3" snows. Jinxed it, I'm sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
n1vek Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 Point and click here in Arvada has 1-2" today, 4-8" tonight. It will be interesting to see where we land tonight. Hopeful for a nice little upside surprise. Keep this moisture coming after how dry it was July-Dec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
n1vek Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 Under a very intense band right now. Almost 2” down and rates are probably 2”/hr at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 4.2" at 10:20 PM, much fluffier than the weekend's snow, probably half to 2/3 of the water content. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 17, 2022 Author Share Posted February 17, 2022 I got probably 3"-4", somewhat like expected at this point. The snow rate was probably not 1" per hour at any point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Another snowfall bust. I was firmly in the 4-6" forecast range, mustered 3" The low temp busted too. Low of 10, it's 2.3 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 17, 2022 Author Share Posted February 17, 2022 My area did get 4.4" on Cocorahs reports, but honestly I couldn't measure barely even 3". Maybe some of it compacted, with the sunshine and all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 18, 2022 Author Share Posted February 18, 2022 We could back into another a mid-week deep freeze and snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now