Ralph Wiggum Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 3 hours ago, MJO812 said: Too early to cancel winter but the cold and snow forecasts for December don't look good right now but that can change. You're not thinking about cancelling winter are you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 The mild break in December keeps getting pushed back in the guidance. November did the same. Not saying it doesn't get here but it may be short lived it wants to be cold for whatever the reasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 28 minutes ago, RedSky said: The mild break in December keeps getting pushed back in the guidance. November did the same. Not saying it doesn't get here but it may be short lived it wants to be cold for whatever the reasons. GFS looks pretty mild overall. at least 3 days in the upper 50's low 60's from the 06th - 12th. Lots of rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 CPC December outlook is average for most of this region and they have a torch bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 LR guidance definitely firm Nina look. Kissing 70 degrees in SEPA on the GFS this run. Shutout stretch incoming, hopefully it can remain transient. On a somewhat related note, TWC showed this the latest in any year they didn't have a named winter storm by now. Reflection of where we are at so far. Not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 On 12/1/2021 at 8:13 AM, MJO812 said: Too early to cancel winter but the cold and snow forecasts for December don't look good right now but that can change. Ji? 54F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwxHistorian Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 On 11/30/2021 at 8:18 PM, ChescoWx said: I see ABE reported their 18th coldest November in 90 years of records. Here in Chesco only good for 64th coldest in 128 years of records....but of note this is now the 10th below normal November in the last 15 years!! November is looking like our peak of cold season departure months during our current phase of cyclical climate change where did you see that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 Cecily Tynan posted a stat last night on the news for the PHL Airport that winters have warmed almost 5 degrees in the last 50 years (see below) So of course I had to go back and do the analysis for 120 years for Chester County. To remove any bias of any one reporting station I used an average of all 8 available NWS COOP sites (with no less than 4 and as many as 8 sites) to see if on average our winters (DJF) have really warmed by almost 5 degrees? The answer of course away from PHL is a clear NO for the Chester County philly burbs! In fact from 90 years ago the most recent decade winters were actually 0.5 degrees colder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 Went up to 57 here today after a low of 42. Got a couple hundredths of an inch of rain late last night this morning totaling 006" for the 2 days. I would say that the "traditional" met winter of DJF seems to have shifted to JFM, where we are getting "longer falls" but then "longer springs" on the back end, with AMJ being more "spring-like" due to more and more below-normal temps seemingly happening into June. That leaves a JAS as "summer" and OND as "fall". I guess technically the first day of winter (solstice) IS near the end of December so... Currently 56 with changeable skies (clearing to the west), with dp 46. Pretty nice out (I put the last of my outdoor decorations up). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 17 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Went up to 57 here today after a low of 42. Got a couple hundredths of an inch of rain late last night this morning totaling 006" for the 2 days. I would say that the "traditional" met winter of DJF seems to have shifted to JFM, where we are getting "longer falls" but then "longer springs" on the back end, with AMJ being more "spring-like" due to more and more below-normal temps seemingly happening into June. That leaves a JAS as "summer" and OND as "fall". I guess technically the first day of winter (solstice) IS near the end of December so... Currently 56 with changeable skies (clearing to the west), with dp 46. Pretty nice out (I put the last of my outdoor decorations up). Still some leaves on the tree and I'll probably rake/mow for the last time this weekend.I remember not that long ago I would have the lawnmower packed away by early/mid Nov. And Sept is still summer and probably the best time to visit the shore.....less people and cheaper rental rates. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 Drove back from Allentown yesterday and a Forest mountain full of trees loaded with yellow leaves, I couldn't believe it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 2 hours ago, RedSky said: Drove back from Allentown yesterday and a Forest mountain full of trees loaded with yellow leaves, I couldn't believe it. Driving up Northeast extension looks like October... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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