• Member Statistics

    15,844
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    maley.chris78@gmail.com
    Newest Member
    [email protected]
    Joined
WinterWxLuvr

February Medium/Long Range Discussion

Recommended Posts

So this is super low odds, in a good year it wouldn't even be worth mentioning it...but the scenario the GFS has shown a few times now centered around day 12 is showing up on some other guidance also.  The euro control gets a couple waves through the area around then with a somewhat similar evolution, getting an initial wave up into the 50/50 area and then pinwheeling something into the east behind it.  There are several members of the GEFS and EPS that do the same.  I suppose its just enough to say its possible and not completely crazy.   There seems to be some hints that perhaps there is some opportunity for something around March 7-10th.  

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
18 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

So this is super low odds, in a good year it wouldn't even be worth mentioning it...but the scenario the GFS has shown a few times now centered around day 12 is showing up on some other guidance also.  The euro control gets a couple waves through the area around then with a somewhat similar evolution, getting an initial wave up into the 50/50 area and then pinwheeling something into the east behind it.  There are several members of the GEFS and EPS that do the same.  I suppose its just enough to say its possible and not completely crazy.   There seems to be some hints that perhaps there is some opportunity for something around March 7-10th.  

Wondering how people would grade / rate this winter if we got a crusher in that March 7-10 window. I personally would go from an F to C-. My parents would be so proud, yet they aren’t holding their breath. They know I’ve been struggling in this class all winter. The tutor didn’t even help. :lol:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, Scraff said:

Wondering how people would grade / rate this winter if we got a crusher in that March 7-10 window. I personally would go from an F to C-. My parents would be so proud, yet they aren’t holding their breath. They know I’ve been struggling in this class all winter. The tutor didn’t even help. :lol:

It won’t undo the misery of this dreadful winter...and I don’t know what the score changes too, depends on how much and how long the snow lasts I guess...but a snowstorm would make me happy and I would enjoy that day and that’s all that matters to me.  The past is done. I can’t change it. 

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, Scraff said:

Wondering how people would grade / rate this winter if we got a crusher in that March 7-10 window. I personally would go from an F to C-. My parents would be so proud, yet they aren’t holding their breath. They know I’ve been struggling in this class all winter. The tutor didn’t even help. :lol:

Still an F.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
34 minutes ago, Scraff said:

Wondering how people would grade / rate this winter if we got a crusher in that March 7-10 window. I personally would go from an F to C-. My parents would be so proud, yet they aren’t holding their breath. They know I’ve been struggling in this class all winter. The tutor didn’t even help. :lol:

Still would be an solid F. 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
36 minutes ago, Scraff said:

Wondering how people would grade / rate this winter if we got a crusher in that March 7-10 window. I personally would go from an F to C-. My parents would be so proud, yet they aren’t holding their breath. They know I’ve been struggling in this class all winter. The tutor didn’t even help. :lol:

There would need to be a Feb 2010 repeat PLUS  superstorm of 93 to get this winter to an A.  

  • Like 1
  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
7 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

There would need to be a Feb 2010 repeat PLUS  superstorm of 93 to get this winter to an A.  

Followed by a April 1982 repeat also 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Just hope for Fridays surprise snow squall gives us our 20 to 30.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
15 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Why would we care about an April 82 repeat?

6-12” of snow fell at my location with temps in the 20’s. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Mersky said:

6-12” of snow fell at my location with temps in the 20’s. 

Exactly so maybe you should talk about it in that region. What’s next...talk about a Boxing Day repeat?...another March 2001?  Oh maybe a December 2000 too?  I wouldn’t bring up Feb 5 2010 in the NYC sub. 

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

So this is super low odds, in a good year it wouldn't even be worth mentioning it...but the scenario the GFS has shown a few times now centered around day 12 is showing up on some other guidance also.  The euro control gets a couple waves through the area around then with a somewhat similar evolution, getting an initial wave up into the 50/50 area and then pinwheeling something into the east behind it.  There are several members of the GEFS and EPS that do the same.  I suppose its just enough to say its possible and not completely crazy.   There seems to be some hints that perhaps there is some opportunity for something around March 7-10th.  

10 percent of 12z EPS members look good for this time period.... two weeks to see if that improves.  Maps if we hit 30 percent or more.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, psuhoffman said:

Exactly so maybe you should talk about it in that region. What’s next...talk about a Boxing Day repeat?...another March 2001?  Oh maybe a December 2000 too?  I wouldn’t bring up Feb 5 2010 in the NYC sub. 

Heeee's baaaack.

Sort of eased into it with the :weenie: likes. Full on shit posting again now tho.

  • Haha 1
  • Confused 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I'm at peace with this winter now. All we can do is laugh. And we can still get good snow even in late march but whatever happens it was enjoyable to learn lot of new concepts

 

 

  • Like 2
  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
13 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Exactly so maybe you should talk about it in that region. What’s next...talk about a Boxing Day repeat?...another March 2001?  Oh maybe a December 2000 too?  I wouldn’t bring up Feb 5 2010 in the NYC sub. 

Well, to be fair, I myself also look back fondly at April 1982 and that winter in general (I'm assuming you mean Apr. 5-6 that year).  But that's from the perspective of northeast Ohio, not NYC, and nowhere near this place.  KCLE got ~12".  That was a great storm in the midwest, and I honestly at the time had no idea what it might have done outside there.  Plus, it's the storm that put KCLE over the top for snowiest winter on record there at the time (it's since been broken), by a good margin thanks to that event.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
30 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said:

Well, to be fair, I myself also look back fondly at April 1982 and that winter in general (I'm assuming you mean Apr. 5-6 that year).  But that's from the perspective of northeast Ohio, not NYC, and nowhere near this place.  KCLE got ~12".  That was a great storm in the midwest, and I honestly at the time had no idea what it might have done outside there.  Plus, it's the storm that put KCLE over the top for snowiest winter on record there at the time (it's since been broken), by a good margin thanks to that event.

And to be fair your posts aren’t 99% crap and you don’t go from sub to sub picking fights so you would likely get way more leeway. 

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
54 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Exactly so maybe you should talk about it in that region. What’s next...talk about a Boxing Day repeat?...another March 2001?  Oh maybe a December 2000 too?  I wouldn’t bring up Feb 5 2010 in the NYC sub. 

Grouchy today I see? Finally have to do some work?? 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
51 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said:

Heeee's baaaack.

Sort of eased into it with the :weenie: likes. Full on shit posting again now tho.

You are grouchy everyday so this is nothing new for you 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, Mersky said:

Grouchy today I see? Finally have to do some work?? 

If you really were a meteorologist for 30 years maybe you should have done more “work” and then your posts would suck less. 

  • Like 5
  • Thanks 1
  • Haha 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
19 minutes ago, Mersky said:

You are grouchy everyday so this is nothing new for you 

I don’t understand how you aren’t 5 posted. You make me look like Wes. 

  • Like 1
  • Haha 8

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Ji said:

I'm at peace with this winter now. All we can do is laugh. And we can still get good snow even in late march but whatever happens it was enjoyable to learn lot of new concepts

 

 

You, not we. The snow season pretty much ends for DC proper March 1.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
53 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

If you really were a meteorologist for 30 years maybe you should have done more “work” and then your posts would suck less. 

For some reason he really reminds me of BethesdaBoy. My analysis may be spot on too. He did it once recently spinning a giant web of lies. Either way, same skill set. 

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.