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Rjay

9/30-10/5 Joaquin-Trough Interaction-MODELS

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I don't know why I even put myself through this agony. On Monday morning the 12z EPS mean is about 150 miles West of the OP.

so the fishes further west will  get it instead of the fishes further east..LOL

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so the fishes further west will  get it instead of the fishes further east..LOL

Theoretically we still have three days to go before that happens. I know it sounds ridiculous but that's an eternity in the weather world. In the end, the Euro will have most likely been hundreds of miles too far East and the GFS will end up being hundreds of miles too far West. I still think it tracks within 150 miles of the benchmark. 

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so the fishes further west will get it instead of the fishes further east..LOL

Imagine how crappy life must still be if you are the captain of a freighter trying to get across the North Atlantic.

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We should see a slight uptick in rain coverage over the next several hours with a gradual tapering after 12z tomorrow morning although most of the modeling has a lot of shower activity right through Sunday. I wouldn't expect to see more than a few breaks of sun until Monday.That Easterly fetch will be relentless for the next 72 hours, peaking on Sunday as Joaquin makes his closest pass.

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We should see a slight uptick in rain coverage over the next several hours with a gradual tapering after 12z tomorrow morning although most of the modeling has a lot of shower activity right through Sunday. I wouldn't expect to see more than a few breaks of sun until Monday.That Easterly fetch will be relentless for the next 72 hours, peaking on Sunday as Joaquin makes his closest pass.

How'd you do with rain? I'm at about a half inch. Seems like nothing considering it rained like all day.

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Wow okay, closer than I thought. Would have guessed we'd be at an inch or more by now if you asked me earlier today. You're right about the gradient though. Heavier totals changed in close proximities.

Crazy totals btw, someone will end up with a lot of rain from this.

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