Chicago WX Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 A lot of that in Kentucky on the EURO would fall as sleet but still plenty of snow as well. Yeah, you're right. I should have pointed out the WB map is a combo. 9z SREF fairly tame with mean snowfall totals (lots of mixing involved in KY). Still quite a bit of spread though. BMG: 5.1" BWG: 2.7" CMH: 5.3" CVG: 7.2" EVV: 6.6" LEX: 5.5" OWB: 5.5" PAH: 4.5" SDF: 6.3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Yeah, you're right. I should have pointed out the WB map is a combo. 9z SREF fairly tame with mean snowfall totals (lots of mixing involved in KY). Still quite a bit of spread though. BMG: 5.1" BWG: 2.7" CMH: 5.3" CVG: 7.2" EVV: 6.6" LEX: 5.5" OWB: 5.5" PAH: 4.5" SDF: 6.3" Found that interesting when I looked as well. My mean and buckeyes is higher than many of the locations that are supposed to get slammed. I have a high of 22.5 low of 0. Makes me wonder if most models include sleet as snow Which as we all know drastically cut down snow totals. No offense to ukrocks but I'm rooting for 75 mile north shift. He'd still be golden there lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 12z NAM coming down off its crazy pills it took last night. Regressing back to the other guidance in placement. Heckuva wallop for some in southern IN, northern KY, and southern OH. Super tight north cut-off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 12z NAM coming down off its crazy pills it took last night. Regressing back to the other guidance in placement. Heckuva wallop for some in southern IN, northern KY, and southern OH. 12z nam sn map.gif Super tight north cut-off. tight.gif The northern cutoff is sharper on the 12z vs the 0z, but the totals are pretty much the same from 71/70 in Ohio and south of there... at least from what I can tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Going old school...12z NAM kuchera snowfall totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Going old school...12z NAM kuchera snowfall totals. crazy.... 5-12" spread across franklin county alone.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Going old school...12z NAM kuchera snowfall totals. kuchera nam.gif kuchera nam 2.gif So a spread of maybe less than 4" to over 10" over Franklin County and Columbus. Very sharp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 crazy.... 5-12" spread across franklin county alone.... I'd like to see a bit further north, but I think we might just luck out on the right side of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 crazy.... 5-12" spread across franklin county alone.... Crazy indeed. Hope just a tick north happens for you guys. Still in the game for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Crazy indeed. Hope just a tick north happens for you guys. Still in the game for sure. I think if I had to place bets, my money would be on favoring a south tick. Tough set up without having a decent low riding the front. The front might win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Holy NAM. That's two models now showing well over a foot of snow for Metro Louisville. I think I'm going to have to save some of these images. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I think if I had to place bets, my money would be on favoring a south tick. Tough set up without having a decent low riding the front. The front might win It's a tough call. Normally I'd side on the models over-estimating the cold push (being too far south)...but this is a bit of a different set-up than we usually see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I'd like to see a bit further north, but I think we might just luck out on the right side of this. Rare you're optimistic in a situation like this. But I'd agree with you based off NAM. I'll wait til I see others Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 12z RGEM meteogram for CMH. Looks like a little under 4.0" of snow through 48 hours. The fun one though is Little Rock AR. The whole kitchen sink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Can you look up ZZV on that Chicago? I went to the page can't find that section Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 12z rgem loops uninspired lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Can you look up ZZV on that Chicago? I went to the page can't find that section Not available unfortunately. 12z 4km NAM p-type totals and clown map (southern IN/most of KY/southern OH close up look): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Slight move north on the 12z GFS...and higher snowfall totals too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Wow, the NAM, EURO, and GFS show well over a foot of snow here. Hard to fathom because we're supposed to get to near 60 this evening. Should be a fun day and night tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Wow, the NAM, EURO, and GFS show well over a foot of snow here. Hard to fathom because we're supposed to get to near 60 this evening. Should be a fun day and night tomorrow! Didn't realize that. That's the kind of thing that makes go....hmm What's interesting to me is how unusual it is to go from temps like that to a raging snowstorm in under 24 hours....without a wound up low somewhere on the playing field to act as the driver for the cold. I would love to see an analog for this puppy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 12z GGEM is relatively weak sauce. But, it's kinda sucked lately so take it FWIW. Snowfall below may not be all snow, as per usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 12z GGEM is relatively weak sauce. But, it's kinda sucked lately so take it FWIW. Snowfall below may not be all snow, as per usual. ggem sn map.png the ggem has been the most generous with northern extent of the snow...but like you said, not as bullish on amounts thru the axis. Interestingly JB says the axis along the river is 6-10" amounts....so he is being pretty conservative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 12z GGEM is relatively weak sauce. But, it's kinda sucked lately so take it FWIW. Snowfall below may not be all snow, as per usual. ggem sn map.png I'll take my 5" and call it a day to be honest! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Didn't realize that. That's the kind of thing that makes go....hmm What's interesting to me is how unusual it is to go from temps like that to a raging snowstorm in under 24 hours....without a wound up low somewhere on the playing field to act as the driver for the cold. I would love to see an analog for this puppy. Apparently this happened here in March of 1995. We got to near 70 the day before and got a bunch of rain and then heavy snow the following day. Local mets keep bringing it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Apparently this happened here in March of 1995. We got to near 70 the day before and got a bunch of rain and then heavy snow the following day. Local mets keep bringing it up. interesting....I wonder if there was a low that cut up or if it was this kind of setup....just a sinking push of arctic air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Apparently this happened here in March of 1995. We got to near 70 the day before and got a bunch of rain and then heavy snow the following day. Local mets keep bringing it up. if it was march 8th-ish, it looks like it was a low cutting up. I think I remember that because it was a massive bust here. We were suppose to get a foot and ended up with drizzle....I think the storm cut further west than thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Looks like March 7-8, 1995. Wasn't a really big snow maker though. Jackson KY did best from a quick glance. Indy 3/7/95: 62˚/30˚/1.45"/0.3" 3/8/95: 30˚/25˚/0.01"/0.3" Columbus 3/7/95: 71˚/37˚/0.78"/0.0" 3/8/95: 37˚/26˚/0.37"/2.4" Cincinnati 3/7/95: 68˚/33˚/0.94"/T 3/8/95: 33˚/26˚/0.43"/3.3" Louisville 3/7/95: 70˚/34˚/0.90"/0.0" 3/8/95: 35˚/29˚/0.18"/1.0" Lexington 3/7/95: 71˚/34˚/1.44"/0.0" 3/8/95: 35˚/26˚/0.76"/3.0" Jackson 3/7/95: 72˚/50˚/0.00"/0.0" 3/8/95: 50˚/26˚/2.04"/5.6" LAF got 1.5" (2.18" total precip). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Looks like March 7-8, 1995. Wasn't a really big snow maker though. Indy 3/7/95: 62˚/30˚/1.45"/0.3" 3/8/95: 30˚/25˚/0.01"/0.3" Columbus 3/7/95: 71˚/37˚/0.78"/0.0" 3/8/95: 37˚/26˚/0.37"/2.4" Cincinnati 3/7/95: 68˚/33˚/0.94"/T 3/8/95: 33˚/26˚/0.43"/3.3" Louisville 3/7/95: 70˚/34˚/0.90"/0.0" 3/8/95: 35˚/29˚/0.18"/1.0" Lexington 3/7/95: 71˚/34˚/1.44"/0.0" 3/8/95: 35˚/26˚/0.76"/3.0" Jackson 3/7/95: 72˚/50˚/0.00"/0.0" 3/8/95: 50˚/26˚/2.04"/5.6" yea, I was totally guessing based on looping thru old surface maps from March '95. the 8th was the only time frame I saw a low cutting up. Maybe it was a different event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 if it was march 8th-ish, it looks like it was a low cutting up. I think I remember that because it was a massive bust here. We were suppose to get a foot and ended up with drizzle....I think the storm cut further west than thought From what I've heard it was a similar situation. A second low pressure developed behind the cold front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Looks like March 7-8, 1995. Wasn't a really big snow maker though. Jackson KY did best from a quick glance. Indy 3/7/95: 62˚/30˚/1.45"/0.3" 3/8/95: 30˚/25˚/0.01"/0.3" Columbus 3/7/95: 71˚/37˚/0.78"/0.0" 3/8/95: 37˚/26˚/0.37"/2.4" Cincinnati 3/7/95: 68˚/33˚/0.94"/T 3/8/95: 33˚/26˚/0.43"/3.3" Louisville 3/7/95: 70˚/34˚/0.90"/0.0" 3/8/95: 35˚/29˚/0.18"/1.0" Lexington 3/7/95: 71˚/34˚/1.44"/0.0" 3/8/95: 35˚/26˚/0.76"/3.0" Jackson 3/7/95: 72˚/50˚/0.00"/0.0" 3/8/95: 50˚/26˚/2.04"/5.6" LAF got 1.5" (2.18" total precip). Looks like Lexington and Eastern Kentucky got a decent snow. Nothing major though. I was seven at the time so I don't remember the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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