AlexD1990 Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago 13 minutes ago, csnavywx said: If all of that wasn't enough to get excited about, some of these soundings are exhibiting the potential for some thundersnow (this one's from Dover): I've seen it twice in my life. God this really could be something special? I haven't stayed up for a snowstorm in a decade lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago Euro says what storm? 36 hours out and big disparity, seems a bit unusual 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago Would have been nice if guidance converged, I still like my earlier post of Greenwood, DE to the Atlantic Coast. I have a hard time believing the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago NAMs no change really still looks good for our region, more across DE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago that max is shifting around. who will be the lucky one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Getting dangerously close to forming a moist absolutely unstable layer (MAUL) in the boundary layer here. Wind is going to be a very serious issue. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 5 minutes ago, csnavywx said: Getting dangerously close to forming a moist absolutely unstable layer (MAUL) in the boundary layer here. Wind is going to be a very serious issue. how confident are you that this is the real deal? I don't have any comps for a storm like this the past 50 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Waking up to a blizzard warning is surreal 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 2 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said: Waking up to a blizzard warning is surreal For me, waking up at 10AM is surreal. I'm jealous for both the blizzard and the sleep. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 23 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: For me, waking up at 10AM is surreal. I'm jealous for both the blizzard and the sleep. Battling a head cold that is part 2 of bronchitis that I've had since the snowcrete storm, lol. I work a 9-5 mon-fri, so I get every bit of sleep on the weekends anyway. Plus I've been up late watching model runs for a week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Probabilistic snowfall range 1 to 16". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 27 minutes ago, Lowershoresadness said: how confident are you that this is the real deal? I don't have any comps for a storm like this the past 50 years Looks like the real McCoy to me for you folks on the Eastern Shore: 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 hour ago, SnowtoRain said: Probabilistic snowfall range 1 to 16". LOL those tools are useless. Anyway the 12z CMC took a nice step in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago So do we have the sloppy ratios, or do the heavy rates make up for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago the nina is throwing us a farewell party 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 15 minutes ago, CAPE said: LOL those tools are useless. Anyway the 12z CMC took a nice step in the right direction. Nice jump, one more nudge west and we are really cooking. curious to see what Euro will do since it has been similar to cmc 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 19 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said: So do we have the sloppy ratios, or do the heavy rates make up for it In the banding the ratios will be higher with the bigger more 'airy' dendrites Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted 6 hours ago Author Share Posted 6 hours ago My upcoming move triggered Beach Blizzard III …incredible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Holy shit ..I think this might actually be happening 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Better/earlier phase and better tilt with the new Euro. Note how the 500mb low closes off earlier. Delmarva nuke time: 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago So the least snowy model is the euro but it still shows 8-10"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 31 minutes ago, csnavywx said: Better/earlier phase and better tilt with the new Euro. Note how the 500mb low closes off earlier. Delmarva nuke time: just bring it (the rock) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 9 minutes ago, Lowershoresadness said: just bring it (the rock) We gotta pump that post:snow ratio back up in here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Blizzard warning, 10 to 13". Sounds like fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Blizzard warning for the bury, let's GO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 hours ago, csnavywx said: Better/earlier phase and better tilt with the new Euro. Note how the 500mb low closes off earlier. Delmarva nuke time: You got me all hot and bothered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Shit, dare I say this could be a crippling storm for some of us? We could be seeing power outages with wind whipped pasty snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago That 18Z NAM run is an all-timer. Bonus is that it's 18-24hr out. Gonna be cranking up the BUFKIT profiles for this one and posting em for everyone here when it posts to PSU. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 11 minutes ago, csnavywx said: That 18Z NAM run is an all-timer. Bonus is that it's 18-24hr out. Gonna be cranking up the BUFKIT profiles for this one and posting em for everyone here when it posts to PSU. We are so lucky to have you posting in here. Many thanks!!! Here's hoping we all get blasted, which seems like a solid bet at this point lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 7 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said: We are so lucky to have you posting in here. Many thanks!!! Here's hoping we all get blasted, which seems like a solid bet at this point lol this still feels like a dream 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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