Sundog Posted September 26, 2014 Share Posted September 26, 2014 Anyone have final totals compared to model outputs? Ideally compared to the same hour, maybe 0z the day of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 26, 2014 Share Posted September 26, 2014 Anyone have final totals compared to model outputs? Ideally compared to the same hour, maybe 0z the day of the storm. The models nailed the theme on Wednesdays runs with the very heavy rains staying down to our south in NJ. So getting less here was no surprise here with all the strong high pressure to our north. NYC.....0.32.....monthly.... 1.21 ACY.....2.37.....monthly.... 3.44 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 26, 2014 Share Posted September 26, 2014 Final figures: 9/25 0z ECMWF vs. Total Rainfall for Select Cities: Also, the NAM's extreme qpf bullseye over south central Pennsylvania never materialized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 26, 2014 Share Posted September 26, 2014 Final figures: 9/25 0z ECMWF vs. Total Rainfall for Select Cities: Also, the NAM's extreme qpf bullseye over south central Pennsylvania never materialized. Don, do you have the comparison for the 9-24-14 12z ECMWF run which showed the very heavy rains over Southern NJ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 26, 2014 Share Posted September 26, 2014 Don, do you have the comparison for the 9-24-14 12z ECMWF run which showed the very heavy rains over Southern NJ? Unfortunately, I didn't keep that information. I just found the 0z run so dry that I focused on that in-close run. I do believe the 9/24 12z run was more realistic than the 0z run I tracked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 26, 2014 Share Posted September 26, 2014 Unfortunately, I didn't keep that information. I just found the 0z run so dry that I focused on that in-close run. I do believe the 9/24 12z run was more realistic than the 0z run I tracked. Yeah, it was interesting how the 12z run had a big rainfall bullseye near SNJ but backed off so much on 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted September 26, 2014 Share Posted September 26, 2014 Yeah, it was interesting how the 12z run had a big rainfall bullseye near SNJ but backed off so much on 0z. Hence why I never use the Euro or most globals close-in (24 hours?), it seems to lag behind with it's initialization methods over North America. 0z Euro showing another coastal in the short-medium range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 26, 2014 Share Posted September 26, 2014 Hence why I never use the Euro or most globals close-in (24 hours?), it seems to lag behind with it's initialization methods over North America. 0z Euro showing another coastal in the short-medium range. Mostly with such weak systems as the Euro almost always nails the stronger systems. The Euro missed the Islip deluge back in August 24 hrs out but at least had a big bullseye near Eastern LI on the 0z run once it properly initialized the convection. The NAM was its usual too wet yesterday and the HRRR had to dial back as it got closer. The RGEM had the right idea 24 hrs out of wetter south and east along with the globals like GFS and Euro. But the big high to the north kept the rainfall totals in check further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted September 26, 2014 Share Posted September 26, 2014 This storm compared to last Sunday's storm: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted September 27, 2014 Share Posted September 27, 2014 Two photos from this evening in the wake of the departing storm: Very nice my man. I was also lucky enough to get a nice sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted September 27, 2014 Share Posted September 27, 2014 wp_ss_20140925_0001.png Good call. Thanks, although my intent was only to show the parallel of storms getting eaten up by strong high pressure or confluence to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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