WilkesboroDude Posted October 7, 2012 Share Posted October 7, 2012 October Tropics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 7, 2012 Author Share Posted October 7, 2012 Invest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 8, 2012 Author Share Posted October 8, 2012 Here comes Patty... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 8, 2012 Author Share Posted October 8, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 10, 2012 Author Share Posted October 10, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 12, 2012 Author Share Posted October 12, 2012 RIP Patty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 13, 2012 Author Share Posted October 13, 2012 Sandy Discussion Starts Here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted October 14, 2012 Share Posted October 14, 2012 Check out the latest run of the GFS. Its only 384 hours away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 14, 2012 Author Share Posted October 14, 2012 Check out the latest run of the GFS. Its only 384 hours away. Doom Alert near Halloween for some. I won't bring that one up for a few more days. Let's see what this week brings us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted October 16, 2012 Share Posted October 16, 2012 58 years ago today hurricane Hazel made landfall near Cherry Grove Beach, SC near the NC/SC state line and began its rampage up the east coast.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 16, 2012 Author Share Posted October 16, 2012 Possible Caribbean development next week Most of the models are predicting that an area of disturbed weather capable of becoming a tropical depression will form in the Southwest Caribbean Sea off the coast of Nicaragua by the middle of next week. It's too early speculate on where such a storm might go, but residents of Central America, Jamaica, Cuba, and the Cayman Islands should anticipate the possibility of a multi-day period of very heavy rains affecting them late next week, even if a tropical depression does not form. http://classic.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/article.html - Dr. Jeff Masters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 20, 2012 Author Share Posted October 20, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 21, 2012 Author Share Posted October 21, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 21, 2012 Author Share Posted October 21, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 Oh DT... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 The potential for a big ticket storm is there. Now to see if it can unfold over the next 7 days. Be fun to watch and take my mind off of approaching upper 70's on the last week of October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 22, 2012 Author Share Posted October 22, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 22, 2012 Author Share Posted October 22, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 22, 2012 Author Share Posted October 22, 2012 I bet this is going to cause some waves...indirect impacts looking somewhat likely for the South-East. And we need to keep an eye on this for the days to come...esp. Florida...make new thread if warranted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 22, 2012 Author Share Posted October 22, 2012 ...SANDY GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... 8:00 PM EDT Mon Oct 22 Location: 12.7°N 78.7°W Moving: Stationary Min pressure: 998 mb Max sustained: 45 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 22, 2012 Author Share Posted October 22, 2012 Convection firing up good...over 50% chance of RI (rapid intensification) increase of 30mph winds within 24hours according to Dr. Jeff Masters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 I have to agree with masters. I won't be a bit suprised if we don't have Hurricane Sandy by 5:00a.m. It's sitting stationary in an almost perfect enviroment at the moment. Be interesting to watch the sudden pressure drop currently unfolding and see how far/fast it falls during the next 18-36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 23, 2012 Author Share Posted October 23, 2012 THESE ENVIRONMENTAL PARAMETERS ARE GENERALLY CONDUCIVE FOR RAPID INTENSIFICATION TO OCCUR...AND THE SHIPS MODEL REFLECTS THIS WITH A 64 PERCENT CHANCE OF A 30-KT INTENSITY INCREASE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GIVEN THE RECENT IMPROVEMENT IN THE INNER-CORE CONVECTIVE PATTERN...THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST HAS BEEN INCREASED OVER THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND NOW FORECASTS SANDY TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY 36 HOURS BEFORE THE CYCLONE REACHES JAMAICA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CandymanColumbusGA Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 You can't argue against the run-to-run consistency of both the GFS and the EURO. We'll just have to wait and see how things shake out and which one wins the timing battle. All the pieces are still on the table on the 6Z GFS, but timing is JUST off. IMO, that's what this will come down to. How soon will the secondary shortwave come across the Great Lakes and draw Sandy back northwest. It'll also be interesting to see how big Sandy actually gets because that will play a role in when the trough picks it up (which it does, just much later than the EURO). I hope you've got the popcorn ready! Oh, another side story is Miami's run at its all-time rainfall record! They're only about 5"?? away from breaking it. Hopefully Sandy can get them a solid 3-4" for them to have a real shot at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 23, 2012 Author Share Posted October 23, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 24, 2012 Author Share Posted October 24, 2012 Smaller size storm...should be able to quickly get a name. Convection on the increase. Interesting curve in the long term...the Azores are probably ready for this season to end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted November 9, 2012 Author Share Posted November 9, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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