TheTrials Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 wow did it follow 287 prefectly, doubt they carry to the warning into CT with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Accumulating marble size hail in Nanuet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Accumulating marble size hail in Nanuet hey tornadojay, great call on your cell today. ....is there alot of wind? looks like there hailers more than anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Wondering if we can get updrafts along a sea breeze front, too. This could be an active day for CT and LI. I thought this morning too. That alot of action today, will be when the cold front and sea-breeze fronts converge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Accumulating marble size hail in Nanuet Yeah you gotta much better than me today....northern edge didnt produce much except some decent wind gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 hey tornadojay, great call on your cell today. ....is there alot of wind? looks like there hailers more than anything lol, i called it the tornadojay call yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 northern part of CT getting raked by multiple cells all of which could be producing hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 0302 PM HAIL NANUET 41.10N 74.02W 07/01/2012 E1.00 INCH ROCKLAND NY TRAINED SPOTTER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 yea i know you gave the storm some status yesterday, but he posted the image of it developing yesterday as well, we'll call it "tornado jay's trial storm" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 new cells forming in eastern PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatenWx Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Cells initiating over Monroe county in PA and growing fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 new cells forming in eastern PA looks like the rockland storm is really starting to lose some steam, but those storms in eastern pa should be able to make it to us though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Cells initiating over Monroe county in PA and growing fast Watch that one for rotation coming east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 if that PA cell lasts 100 miles ill be in it... one can hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Watch that one for rotation coming east watching it now, not rotating yet but its getting stronger for sure monroe county cell now has .5 inch hail core and growing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 Accumulating marble size hail in Nanuet Dude, you're the new earthlight of severe storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 I thought this morning too. That alot of action today, will be when the cold front and sea-breeze fronts converge. We still have a couple of hours at least...the new updrafts going in Eastern PA could be the start of greater areal coverage of storms. But the shear isn't too impressive on the latest SPC mesoanalysis. Some of the more organized convection could stay over New England into Southwest CT and Central Long Island near the more impressive shear parameters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 We still have a couple of hours at least...the new updrafts going in Eastern PA could be the start of greater areal coverage of storms. But the shear isn't too impressive on the latest SPC mesoanalysis. Some of the more organized convection could stay over New England into Southwest CT and Central Long Island near the more impressive shear parameters. quick question, central LI would include eastern nassau on east correct? its such a technicality with the island sometimes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 quick question, central LI would include eastern nassau on east correct? its such a technicality with the island sometimes I would think so, yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 We still have a couple of hours at least...the new updrafts going in Eastern PA could be the start of greater areal coverage of storms. But the shear isn't too impressive on the latest SPC mesoanalysis. Some of the more organized convection could stay over New England into Southwest CT and Central Long Island near the more impressive shear parameters. What are our values? I think we could still muster solid multicellular convection and decent hail cores, but we don't have the shear for supercells like they do up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 because on LI people think central suffolk is central LI meanwhile taking into account the actual size of LI it just doesnt make sense lol....anyway back to the weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 monroe county storm now has 1+ inch hail cores and is starting to grow rapidly 60-70 dbz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 I wish the SPC Mesoanalysis page was mobile friendly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN NORTHAMPTON COUNTY IN EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA... MONROE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MOUNT POCONO... SOUTHERN SUSSEX COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF NEWTON... NORTHERN WARREN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY... * UNTIL 430 PM EDT * AT 322 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ALPINE MOUNTAIN...OR 7 MILES EAST OF MOUNT POCONO...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... ECHO LAKE AROUND 340 PM EDT... FLATBROOKVILLE AROUND 345 PM EDT... BLAIRSTOWN AROUND 350 PM EDT... FIVE POINTS AROUND 355 PM EDT... NEWTON AROUND 405 PM EDT... ANDOVER AROUND 410 PM EDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1-877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 What are our values? I think we could still muster solid multicellular convection and decent hail cores, but we don't have the shear for supercells like they do up north. 0-6km shear is less than 30kts. Effective shear is around 25 kts. Not much higher elsewhere, but effective shear up to around 30-35kts on Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 That's a huge warning over Eastern PA and NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 That's a huge warning over Eastern PA and NJ maybe there taking into account the environment there developing in and how fast its growing that was there reasoning cause every scan its gaining more strength Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 maybe there taking into account the environment there developing in and how fast its growing that was there reasoning cause every scan its gaining more strength MLCAPE is over 2000 over Eastern PA and NJ. That will compensate for the lack of shear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 0-6km shear is less than 30kts. Effective shear is around 25 kts. Not much higher elsewhere, but effective shear up to around 30-35kts on Long Island. Meh. Perhaps when the sea breeze boundary gains strength and moves a bit west, that could change the surface wind direction and increase our low level shear? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted July 1, 2012 Share Posted July 1, 2012 lol Yeah that storm fizzled did you see any good structure at least? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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