brooklynwx99

lol at this trend in the Pacific. went from an AK trough of doom to legit +PNA

there is a nearly 3 sigma -NAO developing as this system moves in, so I would argue that blocking is indeed very strong

EPS continues to tick colder. mean is about 4" for NYC i generally like this kind of event... shove moisture into HP and you usually have success

lol

this is a potent setup

really easy to see how Friday's system trending colder and farther south increases the blocking due to stronger wave breaking, which then leads to a more favorable outcome for Monday if the block keeps trending in this way, Monday might hold some high end potential, especially up by you guys. TBD

really easy to see how Friday's system trending colder and farther south increases the blocking due to stronger wave breaking, which then leads to a more favorable outcome for Monday if the block keeps trending in this way, Monday might hold some high end potential, especially up by you guys. TBD

CMC is proof of that... more confluence -> farther south system Friday -> stronger block -> nuke Monday due to farther south ULL

yup, and the confluence trending stronger for Friday strengthens the block, which helps Sunday trend better. just a series of dominoes

yeah, would be nice to get Friday and then maybe some better potential next week all I know is that if you get that strong and west based enough, dumb shit will happen. almost always does when you have a block that big. it isn't there yet, as the main vort tracks through the lakes, but it wouldn't take a lot to change that if you weaken that Pacific trough or retro it more

this is absolutely pitiful lmao next week could end up legit if that block keeps uptrending

pretty legit trend in the confluence for late week. Fri-Sat is def a timeframe to watch for a legit thump

pretty legit trend in the confluence for late week. Fri-Sat is def a timeframe to watch for a legit thump

the trend west with the ridge axis around the 30th is nice to see... hopefully that continues

nice to see the -NAO strengthen and the Pacific trough weaken