brooklynwx99

this signal has really grown since yesterday

yeah, we have seen this signal grow since yesterday

i see zero reason to deviate from 6-10" for the city and about 8-12" here closer to 287... using mostly a RGEM/ECMWF blend with some consideration for the NAM very strong 700mb FGEN will allow for rates up to 2"/hr for a time midday into the early-mid afternoon. should be a fun day tomorrow

if the Pacific jet does not overwhelm things and push the trough axis too far east, then no, not really

no joke, this pattern is how you get a storm like that. two distinct vorts and a massive block rotting in central Canada encouraging a phase. the flow slows to a crawl

lol how is this like every other SWFE in the last 5 years? temps are in the teens and you can get 2" per hour rates

the fact that the CMC is a clear amped outlier and still delivers sig to borderline major snow is a testament to how favorable this setup is

CMC looks like a clear amped outlier so far at 00z... even then, it's still 6-8" for the metro with some mix at the end, which shows how good this setup is

i doubt that happens with this kind of mid-level forcing moving in

the 10th percentile on the EPS is a significant event. take a breath

exactly, the WAA is insane and i find it hard to believe you guys do without sig snowfall. it's just so cold going in and the 700mb FGEN will be off the charts

it's still uncomfy for you guys, but i still think most of the damage is done before any mixing... nobody should be complaining about 8" of snow in like 4 hours followed by some mix. if the mix does end up occurring at all

everything still looks good here for a significant snowfall, some sleet potential at the end when precip is dying down notwithstanding

after like a foot of snow, yeah lmao

euro is a monster hit