brooklynwx99

yeah, would angle it more NW-SE than that map implies

i would go with 2-4” here in Morristown and 3-6” in the city. def could be on the low side, but would rather be pleasantly surprised than disappointed it’s been a while since we’ve been looking at potential warning snowfall in the city in the middle of the holiday season. everyone in the metro should enjoy

NAM has the main vortmax over upstate NY rather then into the metro like the euro and other models… i suspect that’s erroneous

gotta be near the mixing line to get the best snow

really looking good for the metro’s first warning level snow in quite some time. we can see 1-2”/hr rates as FGEN pushes in during the evening, especially NW towards 287

same exact thing happened last year, though it was even more impressive with a lack of a SSW. gives more credence to prolonged blocking with the EPS reloading in the LR

that isn’t even the animation of the run though, that’s the trend for the same valid time. it’s so drastic it looks like the same run

can also see the jet beginning to extend in the LR as another MJO wave traverses the MC along with strengthening +EAMT... as this wave enters the WHEM in mid-late Jan, we might have another favorable period

lol this is an absurd shift

this is pretty comical. NYE is now a legit timeframe to watch with that amplifying trough

really likes the NYE timeframe. has the TPV take a trip south and boom

lol at this trend in the Pacific. went from an AK trough of doom to legit +PNA

there is a nearly 3 sigma -NAO developing as this system moves in, so I would argue that blocking is indeed very strong

EPS continues to tick colder. mean is about 4" for NYC i generally like this kind of event... shove moisture into HP and you usually have success

lol