brooklynwx99

same exact thing happened last year, though it was even more impressive with a lack of a SSW. gives more credence to prolonged blocking with the EPS reloading in the LR

that isn’t even the animation of the run though, that’s the trend for the same valid time. it’s so drastic it looks like the same run

can also see the jet beginning to extend in the LR as another MJO wave traverses the MC along with strengthening +EAMT... as this wave enters the WHEM in mid-late Jan, we might have another favorable period

lol this is an absurd shift

this is pretty comical. NYE is now a legit timeframe to watch with that amplifying trough

really likes the NYE timeframe. has the TPV take a trip south and boom

lol at this trend in the Pacific. went from an AK trough of doom to legit +PNA

there is a nearly 3 sigma -NAO developing as this system moves in, so I would argue that blocking is indeed very strong

EPS continues to tick colder. mean is about 4" for NYC i generally like this kind of event... shove moisture into HP and you usually have success

lol

this is a potent setup

really easy to see how Friday's system trending colder and farther south increases the blocking due to stronger wave breaking, which then leads to a more favorable outcome for Monday if the block keeps trending in this way, Monday might hold some high end potential, especially up by you guys. TBD

really easy to see how Friday's system trending colder and farther south increases the blocking due to stronger wave breaking, which then leads to a more favorable outcome for Monday if the block keeps trending in this way, Monday might hold some high end potential, especially up by you guys. TBD

CMC is proof of that... more confluence -> farther south system Friday -> stronger block -> nuke Monday due to farther south ULL

yup, and the confluence trending stronger for Friday strengthens the block, which helps Sunday trend better. just a series of dominoes