brooklynwx99

merry torchmas!!!

the EPS shows this colder wedging pretty well. might be a bit overdone, but I doubt really torches from NYC north. hell, New England can even see some mixed systems

last time I checked, though, most people don't life 5000 feet above the surface, let alone 15000 feet. if it's NN to BN at the surface in the NE at times, nobody will care if it's +20F over some barren cornfield in NE

yeah, not really a torch pattern with the -WPO encroaching into AK and the TPV elongated like that. sure, it's a torch for 75% of the CONUS, but who cares

you know, some of you keep giving that guy a platform by breathlessly posting about him. we know he sucks

the GFS just has to be tossed assuming the ECMWF holds steady. it is awful with these anafront type systems and is almost always too progressive with them we’re still on track for plowable snowfall in the metro IMO

lol Webb going on his weenie crusade when he hypes just as much as literally everyone else on that platform

meanwhile, RGEM is coming in even more amped lmao

just a classic post-2016 NYC metro subforum exchange about the RGEM lmao

gotta love the GFS suite

why even bother with snowmaps? use liquid and then apply 10:1 or slightly above / below depending on DGZ and dynamics. this event would produce 12-15:1 pretty easily on the northern end of the precip shield; these events usually do so

lol it has 0.4" liquid in NYC. 3-5" is a perfect description

yup, move towards the euro with the TPV more tucked in and higher heights over the NE

RGEM looking good. TPV better oriented

yeah, seasonal forecasting is really awfully tough. i appreciate the effort that you put into it... i help put together seasonal / LR stuff for work and it is not easy whatsoever. luckily even laymen know that the error is high after a couple weeks