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brooklynwx99

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About brooklynwx99

  • Birthday 06/18/1999

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    KMMU
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    Morristown, NJ

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  1. brooklynwx99
    1982-83 and 2015-16 are probably my favorite analogs as of now
  2. brooklynwx99
    nah i mean we're likely looking at a warm winter for most anyway
  3. brooklynwx99
    waiting until the spring barrier passes to make an ENSO forecast is pretty standard. I said a couple weeks ago that we are probably getting a super event and that a strong event was likely in early April. not sure what the issue is there
  4. brooklynwx99
    also, let's be real, the only reason why this thread gets 95% of the traffic it does is because of the impact on the following winter, which carries the largest correlation to ENSO, anyway. i doubt anybody cares about the SW monsoon (aside from Raindance) or eastern Pacific algal blooms
  5. brooklynwx99
    these events always begin very EP, that's nothing new. not much support on a persistent EP event... we should see things move basin-wide by the time winter rolls around. looks pretty 2015-16 esque in that regard, not 1997-98
  6. brooklynwx99
    there was also a major block that was poorly forecasted in February... one of the worst pattern busts I've ever seen. if that occurred, things would have turned out a whole lot differently that month
  7. brooklynwx99
    just messing. i agree that we're probably getting a super Nino this year
  8. brooklynwx99
    mario ramirez super nino
  9. brooklynwx99
    if we go the super route, I actually like 1982-83 quite a bit
  10. brooklynwx99
    for the record, this should be a strong Nino per ONI and even RONI, but taking those +2.5C euro forecasts in early April to heart is silly. wait a couple of months and see if it sticks. the euro has overdone many a Nino in the past
  11. brooklynwx99
    gotta pass the spring barrier. this is like a 10 day EPS forecast but for ENSO at this point in the year
  12. brooklynwx99
    hey, give me a loaded STJ and temps that aren't an abject torch and I'd like to see what happens now that we're in a paradigm of blockier winters. 2023-24 was cursed and I think people are scared about an outcome like that. I find it unlikely, there are much better analogs
  13. brooklynwx99
    paul roundy super Nino part 2?
  14. brooklynwx99
    every model has the signal mid-month, worth watching for sure with the ridge rising out west. airmass is better than you'd think with the PV nearby
  15. brooklynwx99
    classic spring swing here
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