RyanDe680

The hope is that this doesn't spill over into other states....

So then if the 20-40 demographic is taking it to the chin, the 50+ aren't doing anything?

You can do that in IL now too.

At the end of April, the avg. cases load daily was approx 31,000, which at that time had a 2,100 person death rate per day in the US. Recently, that avg. daily case load is approx 23,000, down approximately 25% and the avg per person death rate daily is approx 750, down 65%. Even to say that the death toll is two weeks behind, the avg. daily deaths continued to fall quicker than the avg. daily case load. I can't rationalize the difference in the % changes in cases vs. deaths (this assumes a rolling average to smooth it out) but I have seen a number of articles of healthcare professionals describing the virus as less virulent and many more asymptomatic cases as of late. I'm not sure what to think of all that.... I'm a numbers person and numbers always tell a story, which is why I look at it from this perspetive.

I read that if we stopped testing then there are no cases and the problem is solved?

agreed - it seems as if the numbers have trended downward overall though across the country while cases have remained flat or staring to increase. next few weeks should be telling.

Florida stealing the show in new cases, while IL number of deaths is the highest in the country today.

Well, just going off of this from yesterday. https://fox6now.com/2020/06/16/florida-researchers-track-covid-mutation-that-suggests-virus-is-adapting-to-humans/amp/

Texas is turning into a hot mess.

Could any of that be due to virus mutation as well? I agree that the lowering death rate is encouraging and most likely due to understanding it more - ie, the effects on the blood vs. primarily a respiratory disease.

+1

The only reason that the national numbers have plateaued is because New York is in decline while the rest of the country seems to be stable to increasing. well. Excluding South Carolina of course.

Let’s try to get excited about a marginal threat tomorrow.

Interesting. Found this from a friend. https://www.nationalreview.com/2020/05/coronavirus-crisis-ron-desantis-florida-covid-19-strategy/

South Carolina is #30 in terms of cases. They are also #29 in terms of testing out of 30. Maybe the state needs to test more.

LOL. Solid follow up

The problem is they no one really knows if this is seasonal or not.

yeah that was my question too. If a BMI of 30 is considered overweight, then a lot of the population has a 'pre-existing' condition.

You gotta wonder where else this might be going on. https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/498142-colorado-lowers-coronavirus-death-count-from-more-than-1k-to-878 alcohol poisoning counted as Covid?

yeah that is what would be nice, if the sample represented state demographics....

How populated were the areas of the testing?

I wish IL would ramp up the antibody testing. I went for one, and it came back negative, but I wish more people would voluntarily go or have their physicians suggest such.

Meanwhile in IL, no idea as to what any of the data means: https://patch.com/illinois/chicago/should-we-believe-gov-pritzkers-coronavirus-testing-statistics This was telling: "On May 12, for example, according to Chicago's data, about 31 percent of about 102,000 individuals tested positive for COVID-19. The state's data for the same day shows about 23 percent of more than 140,000 testing encounters in Chicago were positive."

this is a great read: https://www.erinbromage.com/post/the-risks-know-them-avoid-them

True, but 2,400 positives with 20k tests means the same as 4,000 positives with 30k tests. Today was the worst day in terms of % positive.