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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Room for a north trend
  2. NorthArlington101
    Does this look like your map
  3. NorthArlington101
    Almost surely running out of usefulness on the ENS but GEFS moistened up a little - fairly in line with the rest of guidance.
  4. NorthArlington101
    Get whatcha get and you don’t get upset. Or, as my girlfriend would say… you don’t pitch a fit. Blew my mind when she said it that way. Must be a regional thing.
  5. NorthArlington101
    You’d think we’re at 200% of our season average the way we are scoffing at a 1-2” storm
  6. NorthArlington101
  7. NorthArlington101
    I fully get why you aren’t into this but this storm is a widespread 1-2” that’ll melt by noon the next day. If we get lucky it’s a widespread 2-4” that might hang around til 5pm
  8. NorthArlington101
  9. NorthArlington101
    Juiced up and colder. Resolve the exact details later. Enjoying 00z
  10. NorthArlington101
    ICON took a modest jump north. Still very wet. 4-6” DC north
  11. NorthArlington101
    That’s @Maestrobjwa ‘s magic trying to summon a SECS
  12. NorthArlington101
    The 18z EPS moistened up a bit. Has a higher higher-end option. Thought it was fine.
  13. NorthArlington101
    Checking the breakdown by hour it ends for everyone outside our far east spots by then.
  14. NorthArlington101
    Caveating this with I enjoy the warming discussion, it's necessary and I plan on being around for 70 more years so I'm interested in the discussion. That said... it's gonna snow this Saturday nerds. Join the other thread.
  15. NorthArlington101
    Would be happier if we could get slightly colder temps. Cities float around 32/33. Northern/western areas 29/30. If we can keep moistening up that would help.
  16. NorthArlington101
    abscond
  17. NorthArlington101
    Half joking... the dirty secret of weather forecasting and this hobby may be that the GFS is probably worse than the EURO, UKIE, CMC, ICON... maybe even some of the other models from Asia that really get no looks from us because the graphical outputs are horrible. Yet since it's the American flagship it gets the most if not the second most attention.
  18. NorthArlington101
    We're a lock for a HECS next year.
  19. NorthArlington101
    ICONic
  20. NorthArlington101
    Looks like an "upside" scenario for sure. Of course TT is missing the best panels.
  21. NorthArlington101
    I think the EPS 90th percentile does a good job at illustrating the possible ceiling. It's obviously fallible as the EPS run it's built on... it definitely did not nail the January storms that all trended up. But a look at the max with the "current" conditions.
  22. NorthArlington101
    We do wind well. Really gusty in DC.
  23. NorthArlington101
    Best EPS run yet
  24. NorthArlington101
    Overnight, which will help.
  25. NorthArlington101
    GEFS was a nice jump south but still too far north. Has the best precip in southern/central PA now. Was in NY/northern PA at 06z
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