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USCG RS

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Everything posted by USCG RS

  1. Yes. Mist decreases visibility. Likewise, there are times in which mist can be freezing as well.
  2. Moderate Freezing Rn & Sleet central Greenville County Edit: Roads still look rather wet. Waiting to see what happens after sunset.
  3. If the mid levels continue to warm up... I want the lower levels to as well. Id rather rain than ice.
  4. Inside 24-36 hours the NAM tends to be very good with thermals
  5. Weaker storm = northern steam more dominant. That could.. Could ..put many out of the game
  6. Part of the problem is the AO and NAO are racing/spiking positive. Even 24-36 hrs ago it didn't look quite as a dramatic a change. As that happens, there is nothing to slow the storm down and the trough doesn't orient negative nearly as quickly. Teles changed significantly the past couple days. Without these blocks - no proper trough orientation, no chance to gain strength and no stream interactions down the line. This is part of what the models are seeing IMO.
  7. Looks to me like the large change is where exactly this closes off. The 18z was an absolutely perfect spot for this entire subforum. The 00z not so much. Given that this is global and six days out, this is actually a pretty good spot to be. Side note - Winds would be pretty significant here, but with no HP to the NW, the wind threat is not quite as high as it could/would be. Still something to watch nonetheless.
  8. I think people are just burned out tbh. Basically, lets laugh at hope because of how much crap has gone wrong combined with dashed hopes.
  9. I mean, this thing came out of nowhere. Did any models even have anything like this remotely happening?
  10. Depending on the crane it can take 3-10 days to fully dismantle. Many times they are to be allowed to swivel (ie, left in an unlocked position). Unfortunately that does not normally work for Cat 2/3+ type winds
  11. Unfortunately, this was a known hazard which could not be controlled in the time frame provided before Milton. https://www.fox13news.com/news/st-pete-construction-cranes-could-pose-threat-during-hurricane-milton
  12. https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=TBW&wwa=tornado warning
  13. It certainly appears to be attempting to clear out the eye yet again.
  14. "Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)." https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/082359.shtml?
  15. Man, thats a lot of lightning in there. Makes me wonder if we about to go down the rabbit hole again..
  16. It is pretty simple, if you are in the cone of uncertainty and on the shore/in a flood zone, your life is in danger if you stay. If you choose not to evacuate and you are in one of these areas, write your name and social security number on your forearm in sharpie.
  17. @Moderately Unstable Would likely be a good person to answer this
  18. We actually saw this with Hurricane Matthew. Made me ponder if ERC are actually a sign of a healthy and optimally functioning storm. The storm would go through the ERC, expand in size and increase in strength in a rather quick fashion.
  19. I agree completely with this statement.
  20. This, IMO, will be the larger potential issue and needs to be taken much more seriously than it currently is.
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