Logan11
-
Posts
7,229 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Logan11
-
I looked at the sounding and it was like <.5C in a mild wedge in a narrow zone above 850 mb. So any pings probably pretty minor. Maybe if it gets real light which wont matter much anyway.
-
Yeah it's cold. 11F here. The coldest so far was a few days of 7F back in the early/mid November cold. When that happened I figured we may not see anything that cold again until December.
-
All models seems to bulls eye me. Hope it's not a jinx.
-
That backside stuff could surprise in NYC. I'd be going 3 to 6 at least.
-
Maybe.. All it takes is one hellish thaw. Unless you live in the Glen.
-
We just had the 30th anniversary of the deadly Coldenham Elementary school tornado, near SWF. Only about 30 miles due west of Connecticut.
-
What do we consider big? I don't see one model with less than 12" in KALB. The Euro just came out with a 16" for ALB, based on 10-1. I think we have to consider this is the first few days of December also for comparison purposes as opposed to the prime period for big Nor'easters.
-
GFS crushes the Poconos the hardest? Must be an interesting solution.
-
Ahh.. Avoided sleet here. 24" in that one. My first great storm out here, after moving up from Saugerties in 2005.
-
Out here west of ALB and elevated...we had a 24" in March of 2017 and a 25" storm in March of 2018. Prior to that we hadn't had a >18" storm since the massive 46" dump in late February 2010. But the airport at ALB is anther world. I know they got a foot tops in 2010 and rain. They might have got one of those 2017/2018 events. Prior to that you'd probably have to go bac to VD 2007 for them.
-
I don't think that storm was much where I lived below Albany (in Saugerties then). This area here may have done better. So it may have been a further east solution relative to this one.
-
I like it the way it is. It has a front end of 1.2" (defined as by midnight Sun/Mon). Part #2 is about another 1"....I think it's actually showing more from part 2 out toward Cooperstown this run.
-
The current Euro run was like a weenie dream for ENY. Lock it in. LOL
-
I see you've gone north Ray. Now you're due east of me. IMO, seems like an ideal location for this event.
-
Have to factor in that people in your C-2 and 2-4 zones of NY and MA will also see several inches probably from the initial warm advection ahead of he occlusion so probably nobody ends up with <2", unless way up north someplace maybe.
-
Hope it comes north some with the snows from the coastal system. The 12Z run was basically nothing (or close to it) from the coastal from here to Greenfield to north of MHT. All we got was the initial snow on Sunday. Meanwhile the US models thump this latitude.
-
Happy Thanksgiving Jerry and to all! Let's hope this storm spreads the riches to as many as possible here
-
The Euro Qpf was suspiciously low with that kind of fetch and sitting there for so long. But it still managed a lot of 12" totals. 6" has already fallen in most places from here to E MA by 12:00 AM Monday (ahead of occlusion before the coastal is really contributing) so the qpf is sparse after that when consider it continues into early Tuesday.
-
That Midwest low is going to push so much taint ahead of it. I am pretty cautious about things here in ENY, even though some models have bulls eyed us. Some initial snow ahead of the occlusion yeah. Then reliant on a coastal to spin up fast enough to save us. It'll save VT/NH, ME and probably money in the ban for them, but further south and west we need luck.
-
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Logan11 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The winners today... high terrain of the Northern Catskills; ...Greene County... East Jewett 7.5 300 PM 11/24 Trained Spotter West Kill 6.8 527 PM 11/24 WeatherNet6 Around here about six hours of freezing rain and some sleet. Then finally 1.2" of snow this afternoon. Got pretty unlucky being between good bands or we would probably managed more, and you see the Catskills did. -
The winners... high terrain of the Northern Catskills; ...Greene County... East Jewett 7.5 300 PM 11/24 Trained Spotter West Kill 6.8 527 PM 11/24 WeatherNet6
-
It was a throw-way event to me with the cutter coming up on Wednesday destined to obliterate whatever might have fallen. I just figured nothing to lose so maybe we pull a rabbit out of the hat and get a snow event. 1.2" was it here after quite a bit of FZRA.
-
The most I have seen so far is 6" in Weskill, southwest of Hunter and a bit more would have fallen.
-
Very snowy in Kent, CT https://www.weatherbug.com/weather-camera/?cam=MRVLD
-
Looks good Gene. You should get a good solid stretch of snow now.
