Logan11
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Everything posted by Logan11
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Much better timing for you diurnally speaking than here trying to flip it at noon.
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We just had a hell of a band (dropped an inch so some redemption) and that is now over toward where I-88 and I-90 merge. The webcam still looks like rain there despite those rates. Looks like the valley can't do it today. Though VV's etc. might be different later over your way.
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Very light snow here for the last 30 minutes. 32F. But if you look at ENX you can see the thin little strip over far nw ALB and w. SCH county with only like 10dbz. I hope it fills in before its too late. Nice bands west and east of here.
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Snow here at 1k feet 20ish miles west of KALB. Took forever to flip it and now my window is maybe there hours and then out.
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Freezing rain and a little sleet all night here. Then a lull. Rain redeveloped and it 'finally' flipped to snow in the last 15 minutes. 32F.
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Out here it's freezing rain and sleet, 31. Yet to the south from Binghamton east across to the Catskills it's snow now.
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Seems like a good sign. Depending upon the model you believe they show almost everything falling from the sky: from the Catskills up to here when it starts in the early morning hours. Things are pretty isothermal under the advancing band it seems and not far from 0C. Still only high clouds here have allowed most rural areas (away from inferno KALB) to fall into the 25-30 range.
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26 degrees with precip beginning in about six hours. That's my focus.
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Wow a 19" spot... Frame this model run until 10:30 PM.
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Early December 1992 was the ultimate 'bowling ball' coming across the country suppressed enough for a major snow event. I mean ultimate for the very early part of met. winter. Obviously we get them in later winter to spring. This was a year or so before I got all the good data on the net and I'm not sure what the state of the NAO was, etc. Kind of flying blind as an amateur before the net.
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The regular NAM was more stable versus it's prior run and didn't try to be so 'perfect' and thus shaft most of ENY and VT. Though it was mostly an MRG/SB and points south max.
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The Euro loves Midwest bombs around that time frame. It's the best model inside day 5, but nothing so special at day 10. Even inside day 5 it's not as good as years ago, but still better than the NCEP trash.
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It's up above that counts, but staying nice and chilly here today. 34/23 at 1:00 PM.
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I've seen a different RGEM snow map where most of that heavy snow in the lower elevations of the HV and CV is not there. That map seems to fail to understand how tough that would be at those low elevations.
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The 3Km NAM has a little 11" max just over the VT line from Mass so it's trying to reflect that possibility.
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You could get pounded for awhile though with the dynamics and that elevation, afternoon mostly when the column can cool rapidly. Before that yes more of an icy variety.
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Hah yea the south end and north end (Lansingburgh) of Troy are pretty iffy. The central part has seen some gentrification with people coming up from NYC and then the east side is RPI so that's not bad.
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Yeah Troy around 28 miles due east of here guess. Passed through on the way to VT last month.
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Ahh..what kind of training was that? I'm in Knox by several hundred feet but we orient more with Duanesburg.
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For us though that's textbook. In a perfect world I'd take a track over Boston, but not bad.
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I'll look over at the snow laden Greens. ..whether I get much or not. From my vantage point west of Schenectady on a clear day like today the southern half of the Greens spine is lined up clearly.
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In these kind of situations so often NWS ALY will fall back on 1500' being the magic # for significant elevational snows. I'm braced for that this afternoon when they finally decide to go out on a limb with accumulations. But yeah plenty of evidence that 1k feet might still do it with dynamics.
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Three runs in a row of the NAM and 3K NAM with >6" here. The question as always is will 1000' elevation be enough.
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Tomorrow looks pretty interesting in the hills/mountains of central/eastern NY.
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Only about 4.5". 3.2" of which was today. I had some impressive cold though for November. On three occasions down to 7F. One day that didn't even hit 20 and few others in the low/mid 20's. The winner today seems to be Lake Desolation in northwest Saratoga County with over 5.7 inches.
