TSSN+

You actually might not be so wrong on that. Sometimes gfs will show a stork at range, lose it and then bring it back.

Current storm… gfs sucks we know it’s not right. Storm 7 days out… f ya that shit is hittin yo

Doesn't matter what it shows when it is wrong. This model has bigger jumps on it inside 24hrs sometime. Seen it bust 24hr forecasts multiple times. Ya tomorrow 12Z it should have a handle on the actual system and then would use for thermals.

How anyone can even talk about the Nam seriously is hilarious. Just in comparison here’s the last 3 runs of Rgem and Nam for current 6hrs Rgem pretty steady, nam not so much

Been consistent for a few runs now and pretty much matches euro.

Rgem looks like a ripper

Just got home from work. Ready to fire up GR Earth and track this thing

Depends how cold it is. If under 25 it’s sticking at any rate really. Above 28 ya won’t stick as much

Just looked up a forecast in one of the cities in MS under the ice storm warning. Holy crap! Saturday Freezing rain and sleet before 4pm, then rain, possibly mixed with sleet between 4pm and 5pm, then freezing rain after 5pm. High near 34. North northeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of 0.1 to 0.3 of an inch possible. New sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Saturday Night Freezing rain. Some thunder is also possible. Steady temperature around 30. North northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of 0.5 to 0.7 of an inch possible. Sunday Freezing rain before 3pm, then a chance of sleet. The freezing rain could be heavy at times. Temperature falling to around 23 by 5pm. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of 0.4 to 0.6 of an inch possible. New sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Professional alcoholic

It’s definitely warmer than modeled. But this is stale cold. The cold should start to dump in after 4pm. Enjoy the warmer temps while you can lol

Still warming. 39 now

Dude out here at Sheetz expecting the power to be out till 2027

Not too different for those pa folks that matter in this thread. Further north ya

Ya cause that worked out with this current storm. lol

Development has begun!

Front is blowing thru. Temp is at 34 and it’s windy!

They haven’t issued yet there still under a watch

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1003 AM EST Fri Jan 23 2026 MDZ003>005-VAZ028-030-031-040-501-505-WVZ050>053-232315- /O.UPG.KLWX.WS.A.0001.260124T2100Z-260126T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.W.0001.260125T0400Z-260126T0900Z/ Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Frederick VA-Warren-Clarke- Rappahannock-Northern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Hampshire-Morgan- Berkeley-Jefferson- 1003 AM EST Fri Jan 23 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM SATURDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations between 12 and 18 inches, with highest amounts north and west of US-340. Ice accumulations up to two tenths of an inch, mainly south and east of US-340. * WHERE...Portions of north central Maryland, northern and northwest Virginia, and eastern and panhandle West Virginia. * WHEN...From 11 PM Saturday to 4 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will likely overspread the area Saturday night, becoming heavy at times with rates of one to two inches per hour possible at times. A mix with sleet or freezing rain is expected Sunday. Visibility of one-quarter mile or less is possible at times. A prolonged period very cold wind chills is likely beginning Friday evening and lasting through the middle of next week. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Persons should consider delaying all travel. Motorists should use extreme caution if travel is absolutely necessary. && $$

So how many accidents are we predicting on the roads Monday? Cause people will be idiots and try and drive on the ice rink roads.

Definitely starting to get more of that gfs look. Just needs to cool off/shift se a little more.

Isn’t better? It’s definitely better. Way heavier pecip over 6z

Nam looks better. So far at least the high is more south and the cold air push is better also the precip shield is larger and heavier at least thru 30hrs

Sleet is considered snow. If you ever look in any nws adv or warning it says expected snow and sleet accumulations as a whole

Looked primed to dump some snow!