Snow ensemble maps mean nothing at range. Seen them show tons of snow and we have got none. It matter when they start to show something for an aural storm inside 5 days.
The fact is it’s dry and looks to continue to be dry. Been that way since like July. There is just no big weather makers in the area for the last 5+ months and I don’t really see that changing for a while. Most of the area is in a moderate or severe drought status for a reason.
Looking at 240hr+ operational models, etc and expecting it to be correct is the peoples problems lol. If learned anything the last few years models stuggle till inside 120 and even then they have had issues inside that.