JTA66

I'm setting the bar at 1.5" imby. Is anything is still on the ground Sunday morning? Not overly confident about that. Guess my shovel gets to keep its cobwebs.

NAM looks like thump to dry slot. So yeah...NAMed.

Graupel virga here.

19 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

Hi-res NAM (last) hour 60 frame (coast scraping).

Interesting frame with snow over the city and rain to the NW, suggesting if rates are heavy enough it can still be just cold enough. (Of course, it could just be one of those NAM things.)

These are the systems in Januarys past with a track like that it would be just cold enough to give us our 3-5", 4-6" inchers. Now they're just warm enough to give us a front end thump (IF the "colder" solutions verify).

Just hoping to cover the grass before any changeover. Is that asking too much in early Jan??

21 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

I mean, if things adjust about 25 miles se it's game on for everyone. That isn't alot to ask 3 days out. What worries me isn't track as much as the thermals are torching tho.

Agreed. That's why I told myself not to get too worked up one way or the other much before 12Z tomorrow. Better yet, I'd like to see where we are with the mesos inside 48hrs. Still could be a lost cause south of I-78 but it's only Wednesday.

When does DT's first guess come out, next Wednesday?

I don't think it's that the storm is trending NW so much as the models latching on the the idea a few of us have been expressing -- it hasn't been that cold and there's a relatively warm ocean just off to our east. In this situation, I'd like at see an arctic parked over Quebec with CAA drilling down the coastal plain.

The big hoser storms get sniffed out early.

Look on the bright side, if these NW trends continue with storm #1, we'll be tracking two rainers by Friday. 

Viva la 700+ day snow drought! 

Looks like another I-95 battle on the Euro.

“Gotta smell the rain if you want the best snows.”

28 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Likely it isn't, but for those already looking ahead to a pattern breakdown...just enjoy this Jan 6-7 potential and make like it's the only one we get this winter. We've begged for several years for this and  now it's staring us in the faces. Savor it like it's the last you'll ever see and just enjoy the ride. 

Seriously! Let’s just get some snow on the ground, it’s been years. Why worry about it melting? It’s gonna melt eventually.

Weekend rule in effect?

Happy New Year! 

Cheer up Eagles fans, happy hour delivered again. Nothing better than being in the bullseye a week out 

The season is over, this team isn’t going anywhere. They barely beat the Giants here, why have any confidence they’ll win up there?

Note to self: NEVER root for the Cowboys again.

Maybe we should change the defensive coordinator again.

1 hour ago, LVblizzard said:

GFS joins the Euro. Looks decent for the Lehigh Valley northward but if you’re south of the turnpike it’s more rain than snow.

On the news this morning, they showed water temps off AC at 47F. Yes, we have some challenges down this way.

But too early to worry about details this far out, let's get this inside 72 hours.

8 hours ago, RedSky said:

Dr No does it's thing again some things never change

 

Just having Dr No back making rounds is an improvement over last year.

1 hour ago, Birds~69 said:

Speaking of football, hate to say it but you have to root for Dallas tonight vs Detroit if the Birds have any shot at the #1 seed/bye. 

This is great, rooting for Dallas and no snow under our belt...holidays to remember.

43F/Oh yeah, cloudy

I think the best I’ll be able to do is hope the Lions don’t win.

30 minutes ago, Duca892 said:

The GFS actually got me slightly excited for a second for the 7th for the storm to get pushed dead right out to sea instead of turning completely up the coast 

My non-professional, uninformed opinion is if it turned the coast, it would probably be a rainer. As advertised on the GFS, a system scooting along south of us could work.

While other forums have their meltdowns, at least the Philly forum is able to keep its sense of humor. 

Who did it? Who on February 4, 2018 said, “Let the Eagles win tonight and I’ll give up snow for 10 years.”?

I’m all in on the snow drought now, let’s get to 1,000 days!

And when we finally do break the snowless streak, I hope it’s a legit storm and not an inch of slop we get in a 3:1, crocus-crushing, paste job in April 2029.

36F

At least we had 1995-96.