JTA66

Seeing my first flakes, 35F/DP 26F

2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Don't buy into the hype. That's why I went avg to below avg this season...not all the analogs were super.

Yes, the Eagle season should have been a cautionary tale 

Starting to look like a solid 3-5" region wide...with lollies of 6"?

I'm giving it a D+ so far, grading on the curve based on winter forecasts, pre-season hype and all the epic long-range looks since Thanksgiving. Still time to climb to a C or C+ the next 4 week.

38F/DP 17F

My street has been brined, it's go time!

36F/DP 17F

20 minutes ago, RedSky said:

The weeklies show the good pattern returns in the middle of March 

Definite up/down pattern remembered this winter three weeks of mild/ten days of winter-repeat. Reminds me of winter 0/3-04 but milder.

 

 

 

 

We’ll nickel & dime our way close to average just so we can’t bitch about what an atrocious winter it really was.

WWA’s hoisted

Could be the MA's turn. Also, SNJ and DE missed out on the goods earlier this week, hopefully they cash in on this one.

Bottomed out at 15F, currently 34F.

Can already see parts of my lawn under the trees 

17 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

Watching Kathy Orr now and she was showing snow totals....Telford 8.9". Correct? Who knows?

Sun really doing a number on any totals...

37F

Tough to measure with the compaction. Looked like a solid 6" imby while out shoveling @ 11:30 (maybe a little more with said compaction).

Dr. No not hating the weekend thingy.

Wrapping up here as well. Sky noticeably brighter. That was fun! 

13 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

You can see how/where it will pivot.

 

 

Looks like it's trying to develop an eye 

Dug a quick path to the car and shoved out the base of the driveway before the plows come through, didn't want to do that all at once. I can confirm: heart attack snow.

1 hour ago, jwilson said:

I was obsessed with the original when I was 10 - went to see it in the theater at least three times and then burned through a VHS copy.  A big reason I got into tornadoes and weather was because of that movie.

Obviously the science doesn't hold up at all, and I imagine this sequel won't be any better in that regard, but it's a trip.

I'm old, that's how I felt about The Wizard of Oz as a kid 

9 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Power went off

 

Good day to keep the phone on the charger.

And thanks Mike & Mount Holly for the Winter Storm Warning! It's been a few years 

Looks like I'm approaching 6", pine trees really drooping from the weight of the snow.

Full on rippage here. Not sure what time the changeover occurred, but it was snowing by 5:30. NWS calling for 6-9", 32F.

Enjoy today, fellow weenies!

Just got back from a milk, bread and egg run.  Mild out there, wouldn’t know snow was on the way, 46F/DP 35F.

Oh, and some guy on TWC just said a slushy accumulation could make it as far south as Philly, so we got that going for us.

2 hours ago, Kevin Reilly said:

NAM seems reasonable think it may be accounting for the cold air crashing and also elevation.  I am very interested to see what the GFS says, but honestly it is time for short range dynamic models.  Anymore shifts to the SE and region wide north and west of the Delaware River gets pasted.  What is tricky in this situation you cannot salt the roads in the rain and this is CLEARLY a rain to snow event. 

The rain snow line will be monitored like a hawk!  The earlier the changeover the more snow you get I would think in this case. 

Usually weenie caveats that I don't know what I'm talking about...

Unless there's a major shift one way or the other, I don't know that the globals will shed anymore light. People much smarter than me discussing the effects the convention down south is having , so yeah, what you said...short range models from here.

I'm in the Birds, Wiggum camp...1"-2" here, maybe some lollies of 3".  But will gladly accept more.

47 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

Pretty sure I saw or read somewhere we are 6F or 7F above average so far this month. Ground is toasty so I'll need good rates for anything to stick to paved surfaces around here...

42f/cloudy

 

Bar set at a few hours of white rain…and even that might be a stretch.

44F

7 minutes ago, KamuSnow said:

That'll get you to double digits for the season!

Most forecasts DID say we’d get more snow this year than last.

I wasn’t expecting an historic winter, but I also didn’t think we’d struggle this much in the snow department again.

Yeah, decent I-78 on north, maybe some pity flakes down this way.

Actually, RGEM is a good hit for NJ and LI.

We're still 30 hours away from being 30 hours away.

RGEM = toasty 

12z NAM souther.

Topped out at 57F. Couldn’t even get warm enough to invoke the Wiggum Rule.

18z GFS looks good, but I’ll take Bernie Rayno over the GFS any day of the week and twice on Sunday.