JTA66

1.30" here as well. Ch10 guy said maybe some flurries on Tuesday.

On the Birds...you just don't make 59-yard field goals in a driving rainstorm 

1 hour ago, WarrenCtyWx said:

March 2018 had a big event later in the month that I think you would have been under a warning for.

Yes, that March 2018 storm was pretty epic with the high winds. I was probably under a warning for that one.

4 hours ago, Birds~69 said:

You had 8.5", myself 8.3"....Feb 3, 2021. Berks got nailed.

Lansdale 8.5 in

North Wales 8.3 in

May have underperformed but 8.5" is still warning material I would think.

PENNSYLVANIA

Berks County

Fleetwood 26.0 in

Mertztown 26.0 in

Bern Twp 24.5 in

Laureldale 24.5 in

Huffs Church 24.1 in

Reading 23.0 in

Temple 22.0 in

Wernersville 22.0 in

Spring Twp 19.3 in

West Wyomissing 18.3 in

Bern Twp 18.0 in

District Twp 18.0 in

West Lawn 18.0 in

Wyomissing 17.8 in

Hamburg 15.0 in

https://6abc.com/philly-snow-totals-philadelphia-snowstorm-new-jersey-delaware/10248024/

 

 

February 2, 2021 may be the storm I’m thinking of. We were expecting a quick change over to snow but stayed as sleet longer than forecasted. It was probably a better storm than I recall.

21 minutes ago, WarrenCtyWx said:

I don't think ABE has had a 6" storm since early February 2021.

I think I was under a winter storm warning for an underperforming storm that year. Other than that, I think the last time I was under a winter storm warning was for the 2016 blizzard.

Maybe someone with a better memory can correct me if I wrong about that. But yeah, slim pickin’s in recent years.

Bird bath overflowing, calling it 1.80” event total. 47F

LR looks dry again. We’ll see, anything past day 5 is throwing darts.

El Niño just started, 43F/DP 38F

The only thing I'm interested in seeing this early in the game is how the models are handling the LR. Will these colder looks move up in time or is it another winter that's always just 10 days away?

29 minutes ago, RedSky said:

.10" overnight, my total since October 21st is .30" very confident this will be the driest 30 day stretch in my lifetime.

Bought a rain gauge 10/21 and broke the weather.

Stream levels look decent locally I don't get how, drought guy?

 

I’m not the drought guy but my guess is globular worming is causing the Pocono permafrost to melt thus raising our water table. 

Only 0.09 overnight, 52F. Gusty, yellow jackets getting blown around.

Gorgeous spring morning out there for my Jebwalk, 55F. Yellow jackets should be extra feisty today. 

Ch6 just regurgitates whatever AccuWx tells them to say.

44 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

For snow lovers, here is your chance to get some early season flakes in the next 10 - 14 days. A great discussion courtesy of @brooklynwx99

 

Thanks! I was reading his post and have to reread it in greater detail. I thought PAC jet extension were bad because they flood NA with PAC puke.

But apparently in El Niño years it aids in developing a -EPO? Always learning new things here.

First Jebwalk of the season with hat and gloves, 35F. Looks like I bottomed out at 23F. Bring on winter!!

5 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Buckle up

 

But in all seriousness, the week of TG looks like a nice step down to a colder regime on the ens means. Trof in East, disturbance(s) under the region, ridge in Western Canada. We take what we can get. I'd rather punt Nov for a better heart of winter tbh if I had a choice.

The 12z GFS pushed my 300 hour first flakes back to 360 hours. Delayed but not denied!

5 hours ago, LVblizzard said:

Medium and long range models are picking up right where we left off last winter with a warmer than normal pattern for much of November. There are some hints of pattern change after Thanksgiving but for now, we don’t even have any possible first flakes to get excited about.

6z GFS showing first flakes at 300 hours, lock it up!!  

1 hour ago, Birds~69 said:

Think 66F was my high around 3:30pm. Currently 62F at 4:55pm....sun going down.

Same, topped out at 66F. 

Gonna need to sun to breakout if I'm hitting today's forecasted high of 70F.

Currently 60F.

53 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

I am still surprised that I ended up with a 4-day string of light precip that totaled 0.40" (had a sneaky 0.10" Tues. and 0.03" yesterday morning).

The  high yesterday never made it to 50 (was 49) after a low of 33 and this morning I bottomed out at 30.0 on the nose. I noticed that the winds never went completely calm here overnight. The dp was in the mid 20s once the CAA blew dry air in.

Got the last of my tender subtropicals in but still have the potted fig out there to go dormant and drop its leaves before I bring that in. 

Am still resisting turning the heat on (have a portable to take the chill off where I am sitting at the moment) because once I do that, I have to get my humidifiers up and running. It's supposed to warm up by the weekend in any case. 

Currently mostly sunny and 38 with dp 29.

 My rule of thumb is no AC before Memorial Day and no heat before Halloween. I held out until Tuesday evening when the last of the little beggars knocked at the door.

25F, frosty out there.

Topped out at 49F today, currently 44F. Hoping for mass insect extinction overnight.

13 hours ago, Kevin Reilly said:

November 1989!

Exactly, how did that winter work out?

It doesn't really matter, it's probably just the GFS doing GFS things. And as others have said, it's such a small sample size (Oct/Nov snows preceding ratter winters) may simply be "noise".

I did like the look of last night's Euro -- looks like a frontal passage changing to wet flakes. That's very November 1995-ish. And I am intrigued by Chuck's call for a neutral NOA. On the surface, that doesn't sound promising. But one possible interpretation is the NOA diddy-bopping back and forth between positive & negative. And our best storm chances occur during phase changes. Whether those storms are wet or white, tbd.

1 hour ago, zenmsav6810 said:

Let's talk about frost before we talk about jumping in snow banks-- Its all about signs and indications. Best chance for first frost for me is Wednesday, Nov. 1.  

You must be new here. 

I’ll pass. Other than November 1995, years with accumulating snow before Thanksgiving tend to be ratters.

Although there were plenty of recurving tropical storms in the Atlantic this year like 1995, so there’s that 

Topped out at 81F this afternoon before some clouds rolled in. Gorgeous fall evening out there, 69F.

Currently 76F. Probably won’t get this warm again until Christmas Day.

31 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said:

Oh... and Go Phillies! Please!!!!! 

Yes, Paul needs a new avatar!

No frost here this am, maybe tomorrow morning.