WxWatcher007

1 hour ago, klw said:

Well they can hardly say it wasn't forecast

30 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

 

Love that first comment…
 

Eric 

@A321200

·

I look forward to the day when we are able to know the weather outlook in advance.

Yup—there’s always people that are completely unaware of a forecast or what’s happening. 

Man, this looks not ideal.

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Oh I agree.  Funny thing is, it keeps showing up lol. 

Unless it’s 1888 I don’t want it  

Just now, WinterWolf said:

The weather does BS things a lot…you of all people know this.  It’d be the ultimate…fools us again idea.  

It does, so it wouldn’t be surprising. It’s still technically winter and as we know March has been more of a winter month than December in recent years.

I won’t rain on anyone’s parade if it happens but I’ve definitely moved on to desiring the warmth of spring. 

31 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

All we needed was winter to end, now it'll snow to high heaven

It’d be such BS. Winter had its chance and failed. Again. It’s time for spring.

12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Don't do it.

Thank you. 

Good temp drop. Meh otherwise.

5 hours ago, Torch Tiger said:

Yeah wow Chicago crushed, 2/27.  Normal

56.1° here

14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The way things have been going, we will.  But since we didn't see an El Nino pattern this winter, hopefully not.

Agreed on actiive....only question is will we top 200 IMO...which is a crucial number for me in terms of winter.

It's a pretty worthless number coming on Feb 26, but if I had to place odds on 200+ ACE (and for those not tuned into tropical it’s only occurred 8 times since 1851 and last happened in 2017) I’d put it at ~20% given what I see now. In an absolute sense that’s a small chance but measured against climo that’s a big number. 

As an aside, 1893 and 1926 are incredible ACE seasons (231 & 230) where there were only 12 and 11 NS respectively. Talk about degree of difficulty. 

I don’t pay attention to the correlation between ACE and winter seasons, but my initial thought as we approach tropical preseason is that the Atlantic will be historically (let’s say top 10 for now and choose your metric—it won’t matter IMO) active.

Unlike the last few seasons which started with significant questions or mitigating factors to diminish potential, this coming season appears to be all systems go as long as we don’t see a lagging atmospheric response from the decaying Nino. 

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Ya that 96 in April was the highest temp. 95 in September and 94 in early June

With historic rains in between. Can't make it up. 

4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

April 14th was 96 at BDL - 5 days in a row 76+

 

If I remember correctly, that was the warmest temperature all year lol. 

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Be glad you had a solid event. Will be 3 years next winter without a 4”+ event. So yeah, Fisher and I are holding hands. Fuck winter.

Oh yeah, definitely grateful for it. We had sustained snow cover after it too. But we know overall it was a torch and nowhere near normal snow again. This BN useless cold pattern is insult to injury. 

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

We need a I 95 Blizzard to make everyone happy.

Winter had its chance and failed. It’s time to warm it up and begin outdoors season. Maybe we’ll have a real winter in 25-26.  

On 2/15/2024 at 9:18 PM, WinterWolf said:

I have to agree. I don’t get the whole idea.. lmao. 

For all the threads we’ve had in recent years chasing ghosts, this legacy thread is totally fine to me—not that it matters. I kind of like counting down to May even though it means nothing in the whole scheme of things.

On 2/20/2024 at 2:16 PM, weatherwiz said:

Doing my annual two weeks for storm chasing June 1 - June 15. Hopefully we can get some high risks into the Northeast during that period...or at least into IL/IN/OH. Farthest west my friend and I have ever gone is like central PA. Been willing to go farther these last 3-4 years but there's been NOTHING. 

I've always wanted to do the Plains but I am not as enthused about that anymore. Not with all these lunatics' who think that just because they're storm chasing means the rules of the road don't apply to them. then having to deal with chaser convergence. Also, the thought of spending a day or two of driving...gross. I do enough driving as it is and with my back, being in a car longer than a few hours makes bad things happen.  

Love ya Wiz but reread this. High risk in the northeast ain’t happening lol.

Going to the Plains is absolutely worth it. You don’t need high or even mod risk days to get good chasing in, and it can be done without driving 1,000 miles in a day. Given your knowledge you’d probably do very well sniffing out the under the radar setups, which significantly reduces the risk of chaser convergence. 

In my three times out there I’ve never come close to having issues with other people. My biggest challenges were the road network (stay off the dirt roads!) and staying well ahead of initiation. 

I love it out there. Worth every penny and ounce of effort. 

Working out in a committed way in the last year fundamentally changed my life for the better. 

Almost time to start thinking tropical. Preseason (May) isn’t too far away. 

Just now, Kmlwx said:

It just never fails  

It has a really good objective track record. Even without Ellinwood or Ian posting much of something legit is on the way the usually come back to post. 

@Kmlwx

The timeless scale. Each person has to be on board for the step to be activated. 
 

1.3 final. Already melting but we take snow on snow.

Roads look fine but it’s coming down nicely here.

1 minute ago, Hoth said:

When was the last region-wide mauling? Feb '21?

Maybe? 20-21 was the only year I’ve gotten close to climo in the last half decade. 

Last year there was no hope here in CT while other places at least had something. This year it’s the opposite. It’s still pretty terrible regionally and I feel for those being left out—knew that feeling all too well last year.

Hopefully next week produces for us all.

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

My area 

Congrats dude that’s awesome.