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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    Yeah, they’re still finding solid FL winds. Probably a generous 110 but I don’t think it’s below 100.
  2. WxWatcher007
    Anthony sitting in the cruiser after a shoplifting collar still praying for any damage he can get
  3. WxWatcher007
    I love this
  4. WxWatcher007
    If I had to guess, it’d be expansive TS watches and a small hurricane watch zone. 34kt at the coast should be easy. Sustained 64kt will be hard, even at the Cape. Won’t be a cane by the time it gets to Maine. Watches up at 5pm Tropical Storm Watch US/Canada border to Provincetown, MA. Hurricane Watch Provincetown to Chatham, including Nantucket. Tropical Storm Watch west of Chatham to Point Judith including Block Island & Martha’s Vineyard.
  5. WxWatcher007
    Agree with you both. The NHC likes continuity and with a larger wind field they also assumed undersampling.
  6. WxWatcher007
    Very expansive 925mb wind field. If that mixes effectively it’s a pretty windy Saturday further west. Overall though pretty similar to 06z and east of that 00z jump. Model run—>Meh/excitement posts—>Quiet in between runs—>Rinse & repeat
  7. WxWatcher007
    It really has. I think it’s made all the more impressive that none of this has been related to a tropical system, like 2021 was.
  8. WxWatcher007
    1.36 so far. HRRR is active again this afternoon.
  9. WxWatcher007
    Good luck. Be safe.
  10. WxWatcher007
    Another .50” in the last ten minutes. Now that’s impressive. .96” total now.
  11. WxWatcher007
    And another .12” in three lol
  12. WxWatcher007
    .46 in 30 minutes
  13. WxWatcher007
    That’s insane.
  14. WxWatcher007
    Inches and inches of sediment. Yard as fertile as the Amazon River basin.
  15. WxWatcher007
  16. WxWatcher007
    Channeling my inner TFizz 0.0” Couple raindrops Grass turning brown
  17. WxWatcher007
    Another classic miss coming here.
  18. WxWatcher007
    Probably going to pass to my north
  19. WxWatcher007
    More environmental recon than structural/in-storm recon lately from NOAA.
  20. WxWatcher007
    Rinse and repeat the last two pages for the next two days.
  21. WxWatcher007
    Saturate the soil so we can take down forests with our 25-35 mph gusts Saturday
  22. WxWatcher007
    Definitely will see watches for the Cape and Maine at some point today.
  23. WxWatcher007
    Pouring in western CT. Two FFWs already up.
  24. WxWatcher007
    Right. Looking objectively at the ensemble graphics I posted, the jump west yesterday was significant. Nobody could have taken one euro op run that was an outlier and immediately jump on board. Agree that this morphs into a compromise deal. That’s usually how these go. I’m thinking just west of Bangor when all is said and done, leaving a fairly close approach for the Cape.
  25. WxWatcher007
    My rule of thumb for tropical is beware the last minute drift east. Not even thinking of nor’easter climo here. Agree with that envelope of possibilities too. Still quite a bit of time to go with this one.
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