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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    It looks like for the first time in nearly a decade we won’t have a preseason storm in May. That said, the NHC has designated an area in the Gulf with a lemon for 10/20% odds of development. Environment looks marginal at best with high shear and dry air nearby, but the last two cycles of the Euro have been fairly bullish. More than usual for weak TC or STC genesis. Worth a casual eye, especially if convection can consistently fire enough to spawn a surface low.
  2. WxWatcher007
    Have you started drinking 40s again?
  3. WxWatcher007
    That’s crazy.
  4. WxWatcher007
    The smoke from at least one fire shows up incredibly clear on GOES-E. The video here is incredible.
  5. WxWatcher007
    Got some good work in yesterday. Maybe I should consider converting some of the backyard into a real garden. The soil would probably be great for something with the moist soil.
  6. WxWatcher007
    It’s about that time.
  7. WxWatcher007
  8. WxWatcher007
    Fantastic day. Fantastic weekend. High of 82.8 here today.
  9. WxWatcher007
    185mph/897mb
  10. WxWatcher007
    That’s it. The high and mod days where the risk is relatively confined geographically is where you probably get the most convergence. I’ve gone out twice and while I wasn’t lucky enough to get the high end wedges lol I’ve gone to plenty of under the radar setups and gotten good stuff with not a lot of folks around. Edit: and also, like my early tropical chases, the practice is worth it in itself for me.
  11. WxWatcher007
    Thanks. Unfortunately, my neighbor could have used this advice.
  12. WxWatcher007
    It’s absolutely worth it. 100%. You’re well enough versed in tracking and identifying severe to go to places that won’t have as much chaser convergence.
  13. WxWatcher007
    YES!!! Congratulations!!!
  14. WxWatcher007
    I’ll hazard a guess and say this will be the strongest storm of the year globally.
  15. WxWatcher007
    Man, I don’t usually follow WPAC stuff, but Mawar is extraordinary.
  16. WxWatcher007
    Going to be hard to top this globally for 2023. That’s just about perfection for a tropical cyclone.
  17. WxWatcher007
    What do you guys do to get an anemometer/camera on your roof? Who do you call for that? lol
  18. WxWatcher007
    Boring spring so far
  19. WxWatcher007
  20. WxWatcher007
    15/6/2
  21. WxWatcher007
    It’s been incredibly hazy up here too. To me it’s almost a cloudy day. I miss blue sky.
  22. WxWatcher007
    This system is a great example of why recon is so important. Radar went down and left forecasters with limited ground observation and IR data just as the center collapsed some, making center fixes more difficult. Far from an ideal situation.
  23. WxWatcher007
    There’s a lemon on the potential low along the southeast coast, but it looks to remain non-tropical.
  24. WxWatcher007
    Rapid clearing of the eye now that it’s passing Guam.
  25. WxWatcher007
    Kind of hard to tell from the now out of operation radar, but I don’t think this has collapsed that much given the IR presentation. Obviously not high end 4 but it’s at least a high end 3 I believe especially in the southern part. The track is the bigger issue IMO. Now the northern and western part of Guam is in the surge zone.
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