Tip is right that this year probably isn’t representative of this, and I know how he feels about it, so what I’m about to say is in general and not directed towards him at all.
I think on this topic people have insane recency bias. Like, it’s been cold for the last 12 hours, or Mansfield had a good snow week last week, so that somehow negates the years and years of building evidence to the contrary.
its important to look big picture