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TauntonBlizzard2013

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Everything posted by TauntonBlizzard2013

  1. Icon skipping a ton of panels, but overall, looks kind of progressive? Looks like heaviest snow axis is from the Berks down through SE Mass on kind of a southeast trajectory
  2. Pretty much my thoughts exactly. I think many are currently in line for at least a decent event and should be cautiously optimistic. the big historic solutions disappeared as quickly as they showed up though, so if anyone took the cheese yesterday, they should probably readjust quickly
  3. We talked about how everything could go right yesterday, nice to talk about the flip side. I still expect a decent storm.
  4. I don’t see anyone battling. Just calling it like it is. I always thought folks should be cautious over the big euro run yesterday, which proved to be true by the next few runs and model suites. I don’t think you’ll hear a single person complain if this ends up 6-10, which I think is likely. The 12+ stuff was always a pipe dream IMO, until you are very close in and have good consensus.
  5. Huge storms are rare because so much needs to go right. Not much ultimately changed on the overnight runs, except timing of a few features, and that was enough to take the bigger solutions down a couple notches.
  6. 6-10” won’t get any complaints from me. Good storm. Just get like the trend overnight was away from a big dog. Not mehing
  7. With the move to a more mundane solution, I think that is on the table, at least for the immediate coastline.
  8. Seems like a strong move away from a big solution on all overnight guidance. Nothing wrong with 6-10”. Could be a nice forum wide event
  9. And it has happened fast, and usually right around this lead time. It goes south, and never comes back. Hopefully this time is different
  10. I think he’s a met under a different username.
  11. If only it was day 3 not day 7, hope it holds
  12. Yeah, this things still like a week out lol. We’ve had a lot of early football spiking this year
  13. I’d take the Canadian and run this winter. Solid 8-12 for most
  14. Gfs is better, but still really nothing like the euro. Going to need more than that.
  15. That icon run would be a nice way to make up for this seasons sins lol. Prob out to lunch, but that would be a pounding here
  16. The pattern has definitely changed a bit, no denying that. We are still dealing with a lot of the same issues though as we look at longer range guidance. Lack of cold air, systems cutting west/over us, poorly timed transient highs or 50/50s. The pattern isn’t the same, but the end result might be, for a lot of the same reasons we’ve been dealing with since December.
  17. Yes, another strike against this evolution is we once again are dealing with a marginal airmass. Seems to be a common theme this winter
  18. All the ensembles are basically just mirroring the OP runs. tossed
  19. It’s also the only model remotely showing that. Don’t take the cheese
  20. I’m not convinced that won’t turn into being fired.
  21. Pretty tepid support outside of the euro suite. So probably tossed
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