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TauntonBlizzard2013

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Everything posted by TauntonBlizzard2013

  1. It’s valid though. It’s negative in two ways. The transfer to a secondary happens later and is less dynamic, and warm air floods in.
  2. I’m a little nervous of that primary hanging on longer and longer, that’s a feature we don’t want to see over the next day or two. Given the season, I’m worried that’s what we may get though
  3. At this point in the season I’d rather flirt with the mix line and a more dynamic system than 7 inches over 18 hours like the icon shows.
  4. Yeah, much better look than the icon. Looks like anyone north of Plymouth area is 12-18
  5. He’s no different than the rest of us. He’s well over a foot that run, but hedging like we all do
  6. Mixing issues probably to about Plymouth this run. If that primary holds any longer, look out
  7. Crushed is a subjective term obviously, but to me that’s a nice moderate storm, not crushed.
  8. I also am wondering if the primary holding on longer is going to be better for the WOR crowd, as the icon kind of displays. Like I mentioned a few posts up, the heavy snow axis has a NW to SE trajectory
  9. Icon skipping a ton of panels, but overall, looks kind of progressive? Looks like heaviest snow axis is from the Berks down through SE Mass on kind of a southeast trajectory
  10. Pretty much my thoughts exactly. I think many are currently in line for at least a decent event and should be cautiously optimistic. the big historic solutions disappeared as quickly as they showed up though, so if anyone took the cheese yesterday, they should probably readjust quickly
  11. We talked about how everything could go right yesterday, nice to talk about the flip side. I still expect a decent storm.
  12. I don’t see anyone battling. Just calling it like it is. I always thought folks should be cautious over the big euro run yesterday, which proved to be true by the next few runs and model suites. I don’t think you’ll hear a single person complain if this ends up 6-10, which I think is likely. The 12+ stuff was always a pipe dream IMO, until you are very close in and have good consensus.
  13. Huge storms are rare because so much needs to go right. Not much ultimately changed on the overnight runs, except timing of a few features, and that was enough to take the bigger solutions down a couple notches.
  14. 6-10” won’t get any complaints from me. Good storm. Just get like the trend overnight was away from a big dog. Not mehing
  15. With the move to a more mundane solution, I think that is on the table, at least for the immediate coastline.
  16. Seems like a strong move away from a big solution on all overnight guidance. Nothing wrong with 6-10”. Could be a nice forum wide event
  17. And it has happened fast, and usually right around this lead time. It goes south, and never comes back. Hopefully this time is different
  18. I think he’s a met under a different username.
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