hudsonvalley21

Hopefully it doesn’t push in this far. Unfortunately this will come down to nowcasting time.

I’m thinking it will be for the progression and start times.

Once the information has been inputted, we’ll see these changes and hopefully will lock on to a set forecast. As always, subject to change.

Down to 7 here. Already hit the forecast low. No wind and snowpack is helping with the radiational cooling.

How much for Philly

I would love to have @wdrag to start a thread when and if it’s needed.

I believe that the rule of thumb was there or the Mississippi River to close off.

Surprised to see that. I would have thought it would be suppressed.

4.5” will do it here. Currently 27 and some icing up on spots. 00z runs are coming in a little more bullish for tomorrow’s event up this way. We’ll see.

And now the 12z runs(esp. short term models) have bumped up the snow for tomorrow morning. Maybe 2-3” for us inland folks.

Yup they bumped up esp. inland.

The jump west from the 06z run was big. Don’t want too much of a jump this far out.

Big shift west from the 06z run. Hope the west trend doesn’t continue to far

January 2026 DCA _ NYC _ BOS _ ORD _ ATL _ IAH _ DEN _ PHX _ SEA -0.4 -1.2 -1.4 -1.5 +0.7 +1.9 -0.3 +2.1 +0.2

Just started here 21/12

Just started here 21/12

23 with a dewpt.of 9. No flakes here yet. Let’s see what the dewpt will be when it starts.

Relatives coming in Friday morning and gave me a Christmas present by saying that they extended their stay until January 4th. I call that a “lose-lose” At least I can have time alone snow blowing the driveway Friday night hoping for 4-8”. We’ll see.

Reports of hail and high winds will this front approaching

Thanks so much Walt for your thoughts, insights, and efforts along with teaching us so much here. Best of health and joy to you and your family. Please jump in any time you feel. All the best!

4.0” here.

30/30 with light snow .20”

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 113 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025 NYZ067-010700- /O.NEW.KOKX.WS.A.0003.251202T0900Z-251203T0300Z/ Orange- 113 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 7 inches possible. * WHERE...Orange County. * WHEN...From late Monday night through Tuesday evening. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. &&

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 113 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025 NYZ067-010700- /O.NEW.KOKX.WS.A.0003.251202T0900Z-251203T0300Z/ Orange- 113 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 7 inches possible. * WHERE...Orange County. * WHEN...From late Monday night through Tuesday evening. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. &&