Will - Rutgers

2 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said:

Looking WSW from Piscataway some cloud is throwing regular lightning every 5ish seconds.  Must be tiny because I hardly see anything on radar but it's there.

Maybe every 2ish seconds.  Someone's boat is getting serious rain.

Edit: this thing is lighting up.  Wow!

Looking WSW from Piscataway some cloud is throwing regular lightning every 5ish seconds.  Must be tiny because I hardly see anything on radar but it's there.

3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Yeah i've been hearing them tonight too

Where you at?  I live in the Pleasantview Gardens apartments off Carlton Avenue.  We must be close.

2 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said:

Piscataway, I am hearing thunder from somewhere north and west.

F me ignore this just fireworks at 11 PM on a Sunday.  I've heard three times as many fireworks this summer as I have any other summer.

Piscataway, I am hearing thunder from somewhere north and west.

Impressive cell over me in Piscataway, might've gusted to 50 at one point.  The rain is heavier now than probably any point yesterday.  Ponding all over the place, we might be at 0.75"?  Few CTC rumblers too.

Ya'll got the drought-breaker

If I had a choice where my taxes went I'd give 100% to the National Weather Service.

If I had Elon Musk bucks I'd be building all kinds of radars and satellites to make GOES-16 look like a Tinker Toy.  You'd be counting how many birds were trapped in Fay's circulation.  You'd be able to identify them by specie.

shit I wish I was rich.

Reflective question for you gents, not attempting some slight at anyone.  How long ago was it we (myself included) were bitching about drought, contemplating pattern changes, etc.

How long ago was Fay on the radar?  MAYBE a week?  Probably at most 4 days ago.

I am remembering today the next time and every time we talk about the inevitability of next week's weather.

Shouldn't there be a 2 PM update out?  I thought the NHC was doing 3-hour updates.

@winterwx21 @Stormlover74 guess we aren't getting missed today boys lmao

Getting straight pasted.  Typical ebb and flow tropical storming.  When it kicks up it's fairly impressive.

16 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

It hasn't been that rare to see a TS make landfall in NJ....we had Irene in 2011 and then Sandy 2012.

I dont get this unprecedented July thing, the waters are just as warm in July as they are in August.  The warmest they usually get up around here are low to mid 70s and that's where we are now.  Upper 70s down by Atlantic City.

 

Honestly I don't have the empirical evidence at hand, I assumed peak Gulf Stream temps were reached August/September.

That being said, it's still a climatological anomaly.  Whether because of temperatures or typical seasonal weather patterns that allow for it to happen.

11 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

If the center can align better with the mlc then she could get to 60-65mph. Doesn't look bad on IR.

I'm predicting stronger impacts than currently forecast. Some 6"+ amounts likely.

I would like to note, as a born weenie, that the NHC gives JFK a 1% chance of seeing 1-minute sustained hurricane-force winds.  I live in hope that the endless insanity that is 2020 gives us a landfalling NJ hurricane in July.

Go ahead, give me the weenie reaction, your jeers mean nothing to me.  Your weenies sustain me.

...wait let me say that a different way.

thread theme song.  where's my TWC local on the 8s crew at.

this line is crawling through NJ.  looks like it'll be a solid hour of heavy rain unless for some reason it dies out.

by the way, put yourselves on sunset watch again tonight.  could be a good one behind these storms.

8 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

@wdrag is doing great with these threads! 

@wdrag is an MVP.

3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Think of a train running on the track, goes over the same point over and over and over...hence the term training.

No no I know, but I always took it to mean a progression of cells that run over the same place.  Not one cell that just sits and sits.

Just now, FPizz said:

I'm hoping for something, but think I'll probably end with the .06" that already fell.  

I don't even know how that's possible if you're in Branchburg.  Like dodging a nuclear explosion.

Man you know the s*** is going down when the advisory map looks like a delicious bowl of sherbert.

6 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

And that big storm is missing us by just a few miles here in Piscataway yet again. Just like every storm last week. This is becoming so ridiculous it's comical. It's so dry here that yellow/brown leaves are falling off the trees into my yard, yet just a few miles away there has been plenty of rain in the last week. How does every single storm always miss us?

lol I am at work in NBR is it seriously dry in Piscataway?  NBR is getting pasted.

4 minutes ago, PB-99 said:

The training down near Philly is intense. 

Is training the right word?  Trains move.

Echoes clipping 65 dBz in EPA.

1 minute ago, bluewave said:

I have seen circular outflow on radars in other parts of the country. But this may be the first that I can recall around this area.

 

Wow that's a great view.  And then I assume the outflow stops the convergence and chokes the storm out?

Some big CTG bolts dropping no more than 1,000 feet away.  Major rainmaker, plenty of lightning, not much wind and no hail.

10 minutes ago, bluewave said:

That’s a pretty cool circular outflow pattern.

 

 

Came in just to say that.  Never seen outflow so pronounced.

The first cell is popping up over the Philadelphia area.