Will - Rutgers

Just now, Stormlover74 said:

Looked very localized 

Welcome to summer am I right?

I did get a nice sunset.

As a comment: big summer storms are like a good dinner to me.  You get the appetizer, the anticipation, big heat and humidity, you watch it roll in, outflow breeze revves up, maybe you get a nice shelf cloud.  Bam, it hits, big rain, wind, thunder and lightning, hail if you're lucky.  It rolls out, you're absorbing everything that happened, and just as you do, a big beautiful sunset appears.  Dessert!  God we are so lucky to be weather enthusiasts.

Here's today's dessert straight from Piscataway.  Camera phone can't ever do it justice but it was good for a summer sunset.

37 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Sorry for the crappy quality. Stupid screened in porch

 

lol it's amazing, I've been on this forum with you for a few years, I thought your weather was my weather, and I completely missed this.  f'n Piscataway man lol.  anyway great video.

7 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

I'm glad you ended up getting a great storm, even though I'm very jealous (lol). I would have been in it had my location been just a couple miles to the east. The eastern sky looked as if the end of the world was happening ... pitch black and lots of lightning. Very frustrating to be so close to a great storm. I did water the vegetable garden this afternoon, because I had a feeling the storms would miss me again tonight. It has been a week of horrendous luck here. Hopefully better luck next week.

i can assure you it's because i live in Piscataway too

once i move you're gonna get hammered by rain so often you'll need to replace the veggie garden with a rice paddy

2 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

easily, I'm up to 3.6

what an amazing jackpot, congratulations.  any street flooding?

1 minute ago, SACRUS said:

Do you recall which areas might have been hit the hardest and was it 2018 or 2017?

It might have even been 2016.  I'd like to say 2017 most likely.

As I remember the entire state was covered in a swarm of cells.  Never saw anything like it before or since.

The last few days have been one of the more interesting setups I've seen for the area, I'll give them that.  Cell to my west is hammering Somerset County and has dropped many nice CTG strikes.

Question for everyone: does anyone remember a day 2-3 years ago, incredibly hot and humid, where at some point in the afternoon the entire region exploded with thunderstorms crawling random directions?

It was a very distinctive event.  At some point in the afternoon, like 2:30 PM, the radar went from clear to cells gushing everywhere.  There was no steering flow.  Cells just appeared everywhere and drifted around, the whole state was covered by red echoes, flash flooding must've been everywhere.  I don't even think it was due to a seabreeze front, they didn't really propagate along a front that I could see.  The atmosphere pretty much rained itself out.

Wish I could remember what day that was and what the setup was, pretty wild.

21 minutes ago, TriPol said:

Got some good, beneficial rains off and on today. We could use a nice, stalled tropical storm to help us break the drought, though. The lack of moisture is odd in 2020. Lack of rain or snow during the winter months, lack of rain during spring.. definitely thought we were getting close to putting some red flag warnings up. Hopefully the rains we're getting bust the drought and don't let our temps get too high next week.

and to think coming into 2020 it was months and months of above average precipitation

@wdrag great job picking up the Saturday threat early.  I wish it panned out but you saw the potential before anyone else that I heard from.

@forkyfork and great job to you for picking up on today's potential yesterday.

This isn't a big forum but we're very blessed to have talented meteorologists and enthusiastic amateurs--one of my favorite online communities I belong to.

Good luck today everyone!

14 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

here comes the sea breeze

maybe some storms will pop?

Might be another day for orographic lift, sea breeze, training storms.  Cumulus building in the area.  Weak steering flow all around.  I'm watching the clouds and they're basically stationary.

1 hour ago, winterwx21 said:

It's really getting annoying how the storms keep just barely missing us in Piscataway. Lots of thunder very close by today, but nothing more than sprinkles. The heavy rain keeps missing us by just a few miles. Places just to the south and east like Edison and just to the north like Plainfield keep getting the downpours while we get nothing. It's bone dry here and I just had to go out to water the vegetable garden again. I hope one of these storms hits us in the next few days. Really getting irritated with the bad luck.

These have been very, very small cells.  I got about 10 minutes of a light, showery rain.  Really small drops, it sort of looked like it was raining hard but it was basically an angry spritzing.

Spritzing sprinkles but the thunder is very loud and close.

Thundering in Piscataway.

As this really isn't a frontal passage I imagine we could be looking for storms to pop up all day.

Just now, Stormlover74 said:

The next batch is trying to get further east 

Did you just see/hear/feel that massive CTG?

2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Getting thunder with like 5 drops of rain here lol 

I can actually smell the rain from the storm outflow but we haven't gotten drop one in Ye Olde Apartment Complex.  It's like waving a cookie in front of a dog's nose, just feed me you bitch.

26 minutes ago, FPizz said:

Yup, I moved from Piscataway a few years ago.  I guess my bad luck stayed there and I brought new bad luck to here.  Its been splitting us

Ton of chances this upcoming week, I think it's pretty inevitable we all cash in at some point.  It's nothing but hot and humid as far as the eye can see.

1 minute ago, FPizz said:

Wow, I'm like 5 min too far west in branchburg.  Got a min of drizzle

And I'm like 5 minutes too far east in Piscataway.

I think @chrisNJ is in for a rainy evening based on the training that's forming.

Tiny, very tiny cell over Somerset with 60 dBZ echoes.  Constant thunder.

this pattern is... bizarre.  i cannot remember anything like this in my life, although you folks are much better archivists than i am.

Storms regenerating over north-central PA.

Lightning in Piscataway and maybe some kind of gust front.

2020 sucks

10 hours ago, bluewave said:

The general signal of convection firing over the Great Lakes and racing ESE is pretty easy for the models to spot. But the timing and intensity usually have to wait until the short term. How much do we destabilize before the storms arrive and will any debris clouds be a factor? 

Thanks bluewave.  I always learn a lot from your posts.

Here's hoping for some big thunderstorms boys.

15 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Models hinting at our first MCS of the season on Wednesday. Decent looking EML as the midlevel lapse rates continue to overperform this year. 

 

I thought MCS were generally difficult to forecast and a modelling challenge.  Would be great if we could get one, they're always fun.

Steady rains for at least two hours in New Brunswick.