Will - Rutgers

I wonder if this will be one of those days with outflow boundary dominoes popping storms.

3 hours ago, Rjay said:

Thunderstorms woke me up at 530am

some decent thunder, only the briefest of a moderate rain shower.

my local station is Somerville and it stopped reporting so i'm not sure what the dew point is.  76 F at McGwire AFB.  honestly doesn't seem like a day where the sky will open up but i guess we will see.

88/74, F this.  I am so tired of humidity.

5 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

I'm in the Poconos right now and it's hot and humid here and no a/c (and no way to install it either since the type of windows here do not support it.)  I have all my fans running and took my shirt off to feel better.  The plus of being here is that it cools off rapidly at night no matter how hot it is during the day, we almost always make it down into the 60s at night.

 

The days are tough but the nights are brutal with this airmass.  I just cannot sleep like this, and the apartment retains the heat of the day.  Country living is so much more pleasant.

Ran/walked a 5K at Rutgers around lunchtime at the Busch track.  I am trying to get myself used to exerting in that heat but man it gets stifling.  Now 93/71/100.  In my apartment with the windows open and the air off and just letting myself sweat to death.

4 hours ago, bluewave said:

I will take the higher dew points and wet year round over the severe droughts that Mediterranean climates have been experiencing recently.

OK, fair point.

3 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

It's high time humanity started tinkering with the environment to fix it rather than just let it all go downhill.  Looks like we will be doing the same on Mars within the next few decades, as NASA just sent a rover there that converts CO2 to O2.

 

 

It's bankable that large-scale environmental engineering projects will need to be undertaken by countries and consortiums of countries over the next several decades.  It goes well beyond global warming, too.

8 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Humid subtropical has made it to our area.

Too bad it's humid subtropical and not Mediterranean.

Wonder what kind of crops we'll be able to grow here in 20 years.

11 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

I don't understand how everybody thinks power restoration can happen much more quickly than it is. For instance, there's a street lower down on my hill that had over 70 trees down, those have to be cut out before the trucks can get in to deal with the ONE that took out the power line. There are many streets like this and many problems similar to this. What about the dozens (hundreds?) of snapped utility poles, do you think the suppliers just happen to have replacements for them just sitting around waiting to be used? What about the specialty crews that do that work, how many can each company have available? With staff reductions over the last few years they have to draw on assistance from other areas but those companies also have reduced staff. I get it that rates have ballooned in most areas and the expectation is that maintenance and service should be better but, unfortunately, that's not the way it works. 

Don't get me wrong, I'm certainly not defending the power supply co's and I can't stand that we're all stuck paying more for a system that's inherently broken but when I watched a group of my neighbors screaming at a guy that was assessing the damage so he could call in the right kind of crews to solve the problem and he was from Illinois and had just finished driving here a few hours before that I realized that people's expectations are simply too high. They all seemed to think he was just going to jump in the bucket and fire up the chainsaw right there on the spot, that's not how it works. 

Sorry I'm just getting tired of the complaining. We live in an area plagued by an antiquated network of overhead supply lines and there is no easy solution to that or to the storm damage that follows. A little bit of self sufficiency can go a long way, a decent small generator goes a long way as does a rooftop or yard solar installation (if you can afford it) can ease the pain.

Most people haven't the faintest idea about things outside of their very narrow field of vision nor are they capable of empathy or imagination, plus, they're just pissed off that the power's out.  Probably everyone here has had a boss at one time or another who wanted a week's worth of work done by lunchtime.

Quote

Another reason for the extremely active Atlantic hurricane seasonal forecast is the result of a very active West African monsoon, Klotzbach said. "More robust easterly waves and more conducive upper-level winds for hurricanes in the tropical Atlantic are typically associated with an active monsoon." Easterly waves are the small weather disturbances that eject off Africa, which can develop into hurricanes. 

We'll see how many of these Cape Verde storms become a problem for us.  I think it's non-zero.

1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said:

14 more named storms and 11 hurricanes...5 major... yikes 

If I laid odds I'd give another NE tropical system direct hit 50%.

17 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Do we really want winter with 50’s and rain?

That's my jam.  But I have enjoyed this summer as well.  The amateur enthusiast can find a port in any storm (or lack thereof).

6 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Beyond there could see more onshore barrage which looked likely earlier next week , now towards the end of next week and middle of the month.  All signs point to warmer and wetter than normal with potential sizzling finish to August in the last week or more.

This'll end up a top year for summer storms, including two direct hit tropical systems.  Wild.

FSU's phase space diagram of the GFS indicates Isaias was still hanging onto its tropical characteristics as a very marginally warm core storm at 1:00 PM.  Impressive at such a latitude.

24 minutes ago, tdp146 said:

It's a TreeMW lol

Sting jet is here I guess.  Just lost power for the first time.

That slug of moisture which I assume is the former eyewall is going to be a real problem for flash flooding in WCNJ.

2 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Still not much going on here currently. Winds are calm and no rain 

Radar's finally filling in towards us at least.

The axis of heavy rains looks a good 50 miles west of where it was predicted a few days ago.

2 minutes ago, TheManWithNoFace said:

Thats 35 feet up. 

Plenty of trees at 35 feet.

2 minutes ago, Blizzard-on-GFS said:

Nearly all of the MESO models show an intense band of roughly 60 MPH sustained winds making its way up the barrier islands of NJ. It's hard to believe but almost every model has it. Gusts would be even higher. I know it's crazy but these winds would probably warrant a hurricane warning for these areas; I doubt the warnings will be hoisted but it will be interesting to see how bad it gets. 

Probably not a great day for friends, family, and neighbors around here tomorrow.  Bad trends.

1 minute ago, justinj said:

What’s the likelihood of actually seeing 60-80mph gusts on the island? I’m gonna believe it when I see it I’m sure 40-50 will occur 

Better than they were this morning, at any rate.

We REALLY lucked out this thing was hit so hard by shear and dry air.

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

cmc

Yikes, murdered.

lol guys I made a meme and i am sorry it's so bad

8 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Some people love to troll

He's not a troll though and I'm not a weenie, I'm trying to learn and contribute... was thinking it looked a fair bit stronger and more organized.  I'll call a spade a spade, I said it was looking dishevled yesterday.

I hate being wrong here, there's so many good meteorologists and it's so easy for an amateur like myself to make themselves look stupid.  So if I said something stupid I want to learn from it.  That's all.

10 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

It does look beter

I'm just seriously tripped out by the idea I'm too stupid to find a naked swirl on GOES EAST.  I mean people joke about being triggered but I just spent 10 minutes looking at screens trying to find what he's talking about, and because I can't find it I feel even dumber.