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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    It just almost never comes back S with a northern stream wave too… i don’t even know if our 100% successful methods will work on this
  2. DDweatherman
    This is a northern stream system, they almost always trend N. Not to be confused with our SS s/w that don’t always come NW.
  3. DDweatherman
    Guys, what do we do to rescue this? We have the pattern temporary flipping on the back side of this. If we want to be a snow town, we have to activate our stops right now. resting our hopes on the icon jma and rgem is a very risky proposition. Do we gotta start getting drunk like last weekend? @stormtracker
  4. DDweatherman
    We had good trends but we peaked too soon yesterday. however, my 0% scientific opinion says at 0z we actually see this come back our way a bit. I said that last week and that was the start of our comeback. Trying to replicate all the variables.
  5. DDweatherman
    Let me help you guys, this run sucks.
  6. DDweatherman
    Mount PSU is pretty high up, I’m only at about 900’ myself. But 10 mins away I can be at 1500 ft near Fort Ritchie
  7. DDweatherman
    Can you slow it down just a wee bit for us so they can interact a bit?
  8. DDweatherman
    He’s right, we need new data to go with the new thread. 18z usually doesn’t turn us around if 12z sucked
  9. DDweatherman
    Yeah let’s do a second thread. I bet she juices up starting at 0z.
  10. DDweatherman
    I was damn accurate when I said the 2” line would be around Georgetown. Look at that
  11. DDweatherman
    For the folks who don’t know, given the fluffy nature of the high ratio snow we received, the snow is more so sublimating than it is melting, given the current conditions. Just a note
  12. DDweatherman
    Agreed, I do like the h5 pass and that coinciding with the LER of the jet. Should help with some ascent to get us decent rates vs the really light stuff. These can juice up closer to gametime provided you have an ideal s/w pass. We do have that here (as modeled).
  13. DDweatherman
    Predictions for the euro, a nice swath of 2-4 from N edge of DC (say about Georgetown) to the M/D line. About .2-.25" QPF for most.
  14. DDweatherman
    Ahh Jesus, here we go again.
  15. DDweatherman
    At first glance, this looks like something trended north, but in reality it was a carbon copy of 6z gfs as Randy said. ICON & RGEM actually went south a bit.
  16. DDweatherman
    Run to run there are fluctuations, each model gets drier than another gets wetter, etc. 12z GFS was an ideal location for the vort pass
  17. DDweatherman
    H5 almost carbon copy of 6z to my eyes
  18. DDweatherman
    I agree, the stingy ass icon just painted 3-5” over most of us. RGEM improved, 3k was solid, need more be said?
  19. DDweatherman
    I like the uppers in the icon and the synoptic set up. One thing I don’t expect is a weaker vort. Give me the rest and I expect a pretty juicy h5 wave & corresponding pass
  20. DDweatherman
    Yeah, let’s just close up shop. To hell with it, hope the icon shows 4-6” just because now
  21. DDweatherman
    Look too for the jet to align and give us the good rates/ascent.
  22. DDweatherman
    Agreed. We take
  23. DDweatherman
    For a run that shitty, results weren’t that much worse. vort pass still is strong and not a bad track. 40-50 miles south is money.
  24. DDweatherman
    You mean h54?
  25. DDweatherman
    Didn’t h2o start the new thread last storm?
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