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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    The euro is struggling badly right now
  2. DDweatherman
    Thats because it comes in from the WNW, not our favorite vector…SW is best. That said, I’ll take my chances vs watching one more suppressed POS slide south of us. AI looked pretty good this morning who knows.
  3. DDweatherman
    It was a sacrificial thread for Monday, how ever that’ll probably be gone too and I can accept a few month suspension til May
  4. DDweatherman
    I’d prefer the simpler evolution of the gfs, realistically they could both be right if pulses come out.
  5. DDweatherman
    After it had .5 Qpf tomorrow over dc until 18z (still kinda does) 24 hours out, are you gonna BET ON IT?
  6. DDweatherman
    Love the more southwest to northeast approach versus due West, looks pretty classic for our area with a nice high in place. T minus 5 days.
  7. DDweatherman
    yep that’s all she wrote. I sacrificed myself for Ji to get the good one Monday/tuesday. Fine with it.
  8. DDweatherman
    I'm declaring this dead. GFS will either cave at 18z or just continue to keep being wrong. This shit is day out.
  9. DDweatherman
    Wow, the euro actually got smoked at d4 lead times pretty hard in that one.
  10. DDweatherman
    To be honest, probably not. We still see very mixed results on SSW's in our area and their direct impact on sensible wx. It can help, but its not that we didn't have cold in place. Displacing the TPV from over our heads would have been more helpful.
  11. DDweatherman
    Lol looking at the 12 hr image huh. I mean you're not wrong. It ends up north of last run and more amped but no dice.
  12. DDweatherman
    I don't even know if we can call it a storm, and it may not be one
  13. DDweatherman
    Agreed and I'd take that all damn day long.
  14. DDweatherman
    I agree, until it comes north/amps more at 18z...
  15. DDweatherman
    There's no way at these leads all of the cam's are this far off, the Euro AI did move a fair bit north to us, but damn... the gfs is on an island 24 hours out lol...
  16. DDweatherman
    GFS has to cave at 18z right? Or?
  17. DDweatherman
    Doubtful, it’ll miss south and not even be a storm like tomorrow (on every model except the gfs)
  18. DDweatherman
    Why can’t we lock in that gfs and let chips fall. I’ll take that output verbatim. Gfs ready to take the lead again?
  19. DDweatherman
    Boy what a surprise on that prediction 12z wouldn’t show much and 18z would bring a different solution.
  20. DDweatherman
    That’s true, I don’t want my license revoked. I knew coming in this was a longshot even though it’s an easy way to win around here…we’d rather do complicated or non ideal setups
  21. DDweatherman
    Looks like Monday morning start if there’s a storm. Good let’s try a weekday so the kids get another long weekend…
  22. DDweatherman
    To be fair, that one has some legs and I’d exchange one for the other…weekend rule ish? Late Sunday?
  23. DDweatherman
    Don’t worry after 12z we’ll delete this thread. But then the storm will probably reappear with 1-3” over us on 18z runs. To think some had 4-6” totals when this thing was opened.
  24. DDweatherman
    Well, a lot of models are around us. There’s been a back-and-forth each cycle between precept being over us or south of us. Let’s see if we can get a little bit of juicing/amping today now that the bomb is gone. The system needs to be a little bit stronger if we want the heavy precip that will help our temps cooperate. I guess there is a chance it could be flattening the flow.
  25. DDweatherman
    I mean it shifted 300 miles south in 2 cycles.
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