SouthCoastMA

I hope to experience a 96, 05, or 15 again. Though 05 is probably a 1 in a 100 year type season

started at 22, now I'm 42. Crazy its been 20 years on these boards, even though I always felt like a newbie.

Lets just get it close enough for some flakes during gametime

ECMWF-AI looks better at 12z. lol At least, it throws back some more precip. Based on all the expert analysis in this thread, not buying it yet.

Yikes.. well the AIs will be exposed this storm if they cave. They may need some more time.

GFS OP is now the eastern outlier, slightly moreso than the Euro OP.

The one big red flag is the EPS has been pretty steadfast for the past 3-4 runs of being mostly a miss. Need to see that change at 12z

Gun to head, this trends slightly better at 12z giving EMA low end advisory. Speaking of GFS/Euro suite

Euro is still 1-3" here. It had nada 12z yesterday. Still some room for this to inch a bit closer, given the AI guidance. I think some were subsconsciously locking in the big GFS runs.

I still think a moderate event is possible. Big hits are gone though. Let's hope the AIs continue to stand pat

EPS are so flat at 18z, gotta think those trend west at 0z given the other guidance

That was a good move by the Euro. the outliers from 12z have moved towards each other at 18z

I thought it looked slightly east, but not much difference

18Z AIGFS actually looks slightly better than 12z

For as much as I'd love that to verify, yes. For now at least with 0 support.