SouthCoastMA

12z EPS showing some hangback moisture on Monday into Tuesday - i'm guessing a few members showing redevelopment or invt trough hanging back.

EuroAI similar, maybe a tick faster? Thought at first it would be south

@The 4 Seasons17.5" - Sandwich, MA ESandwich Coop might have slightly more

True, I was kinda worried to see that trend south..but I do trust the EUROAI more.

Boom @ 150 with a 2ndary forming

CMC slower, so thats a route to get the confluence to ease up a bit

2010 is not walking through that door. wagons north (somewhat).

Might be some ocean effect along EMA with that look

I got a group text with a link to a Northeast Weather Alert fb post

Yeah and then you rain. So I'd be more optimistic considering where you live.

Euro AI slunked south a tad at 18z. Still would be a good position for decent hit

I feel the opposite. Models are probably overplaying the magnitude of the cold press..which as it stands would be extreme. I'm betting on a moderation of that. That being said, I didn't like seeing the AIGFS go south at 18z but I do think it will end up at least a graze here.

Definitely some compaction/melt occurring early AM (around 2am temp rose to 33°) I was out and heard a lot of dripping

Im convinced the AIs are going to lead the way on this. ride them in the mid range for storm track, 500 trough positions

Weird how BOX removed all the Cape amounts from PNS.even the NWS observed 5.8" from 11pm. Now the amounts are all 4" and under. One way to cover a busted forecast