Hoth

1 minute ago, JBinStoughton said:

Maybe we can bring this in a little slower and a little closer? Just a touch?

I won't fight ya. 

3k would be epic.

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

East folks will remember this for a very long time. Jan 15 2.0

Thank goodness SWC closed for the season.

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think it could trend that way....whether it's at the right time for us is the question.

If you get a clean phase, absolutely possible. the +PNA and block would certainly argue for it in that event.

If you look at the GOES16 northern hemisphere water vapor, our northern stream looks like it's about to nosedive off a cliff. You can really see the squeeze of the rising PNA and the block taking shape. 

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=global-northernhemi-08-48-0-100-1&checked=map

4 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

This storm really makes me wish that Storm #1 on Mar 1st was a big snow hit, we would be possibly looking at all time snowiest March in a lot of places. 

Somewhere up in Litchfield or the Berks might still be in the game.

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

 

All of the West side are below 970. WTF don't want

Yeah, no bueno with the ongoing power issues. The tree damage is pretty remarkable. I have a few neighbors that had trees come through the roof like you did. Arbor vitae, cedars, white pines and old maples for the loss.

1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said:

about 20 of 52 right now bring warning snows this far west or more. The overal mean is def a jump west from 00z which is the big take away from the EPS. Just need another tick or two west. 

Yeah, I'm confident we get it. The Euro has been too far southeast in the midrange with almost all our storms this winter. I could see one more big move northwest with a better phase and then it'll lock in.

Man, there are a lot of EPS members that would be SNE slaughtering.

1 minute ago, #NoPoles said:

If your erection lasts more than four hours, please contact your doctor immediately

The cure for that is almost worse than the disease.

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Euro in its famous small steps westward each run. This will continue here on out with a big event back to Berks 

If EPS continue to be well west, we can get cautiously excited. Also, Euro has been southeast with almost all nor'easters this season and has trended NW with time. 

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

Lol. I had to look that word up.   Whoops!

Lol keep safe search on!

GEFS is cause for priapism among NE weenies. Geez.

9 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Trying to figure out a possible analog for this one...not a perfect match, but there are some similarities to Juno (Jan 15).

I like the idea of a last minute correction like that one. That was a classic "not happening, James" system where spacing and other subtle problems looked to skunk a great opportunity, but then it came roaring back in one modeling cycle and ushered in three weeks of epicosity. I agree with you that the n/s vort could well be underdone given its source region. We've seen these things trend stronger on a few occasions this year.

4 hours ago, CIK62 said:

Bitcoin will drop to ZERO but the Blockchain Technology will remain.  Central Banks will not allow it.  It goes to 0 since it has no PlungeProtectionTeam to save it, like stocks.  Those who started it and remain anonymous have their Billions (your thousands) and have left the stage.  Ditto for those ICO's

Imagine selling a course for 50 bucks while claiming you are swimming in Ten's of millions.!?

"It's the new future." Said during every bubble ever. Remember when they were euphorically calling for Dow 100,000 in 1999?

2 hours ago, Juliancolton said:

Just wow.

35 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said:

I said this to my friends about bitcoin yesterday we are both invested. But he sold his bitcoins but I gave him this advice yesterday around 10am. Obviously at the end I meant to say $6,000 

 

after last night briefly hitting 5,900 and change it started going down at this time it's trading around $5390 or so. I think it drops again to about $5,150-$5,200... after that drop bitcoin will skyrocket and it won't really go down for a few weeks straight! Projected price by January  1st is $8,600-9,900

 

i tried to load my conversation but it says the file is too big but let's see what happens anyways

How are you arriving at your projected price? What do you use as a valuation method? Blockchain as a technology is interesting, but Bitcoin as a currency or reliable store of value seems flawed. This screams bubble to me. 

23 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

24” is a BECS for most but only a MECS for some. ha.

We spoiled.

Actually just found this old series of stills from after the storm a mile or so from my hood. Winter wonderland.

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

That was a great bust...it had been big on the models about 3-4 days out but then starting trending SE to the point where it looked like just a scraper. Then on January 26th in the morning, we started noticing the RUC and HRRR showing much more robust look at the end of their runs...it looked like we'd get crushed if extrapolated out another 6-10 hours...but it was still easy to be a bit skeptical since those models can often be overamped after 6 hours....but when they didn't back off through the afternoon and the satellite/water vapor and radar loops started supporting them by late afternoon, we were thinking "oh man, this might be real". I remember the 18z NAM jumped like 100 miles northwest that afternoon and I knew we were probably in good shape...that finally a non-nowacast model had made a jump...the 18z GFS followed suite an hour or two later.

 

This had been the NAM run the night before at 00z....almost all the models looked like this. GFS was slightly better, but they were all way SE.

 

 

Great post. Thanks for the rehash.

28 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said:

where were you for that one and how much?

New Haven area. Picked up a quick 15 or 16 on top of the already robust pack, but had blinding thundersnow for a few hours overnight. Probably more memorable because the models failed so badly and were projecting 4-8 sloppy inches.

This was a fun one. Big positive bust and some of the heaviest snow I've ever seen. Jan '11 was great. Never thought I'd see it exceeded, especially not just four years later.

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

March 9, 2013 Weymouth, MA. Taken from my sister.

 

 

Great storm, but most incredible and horrifying subsidence near PVD I've ever seen. Toaster bath stuff.

3 minutes ago, Windspeed said:

The outer band does look to be intensifying. Unfortunately, even if St. Croix doesn't get into the northeast eyewall, that outer band may have long duration winds of hurricane force as it is moving over them. They are still going to get rocked.

 

Yeah, it is already pretty impressive on that St Croix livestream. 

Looks like Josh is planning to chase.