Hoth

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah that was a great storm actually. It produced a decent number of power outages in E MA. 10-12" of pure cement. 

You wouldn't have any saved radar images of the 2011 norlun would you? Think it was around 1/7 or 1/8. That was a fun event down here.

I remember the quick hitter that dropped 14" or so, and the disappointment of the march storm flipping to sleet/freezing rain after about 10". Bulletproof stuff though.

2 hours ago, moneypitmike said:

And, it feels even warmer with the relatively cooler air temops.

The afternoon commute traffic this summer sucked the big one.  Don't know what was up with that.

Rerouted Comm Ave bridge traffic maybe?

The Euro's precip depiction through Sunday would send me straight to the Tobin if it were January.

1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

Epic stretch of mid summer weather coming up , September like warm days low dews cool nights

Just in time for vacay on the island. So stoked.

24 minutes ago, dendrite said:

He's sounding like a broken record with the d10 Dewey defeats COC posts.

lol

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Yeah they just ignored the Euro backing off any real cooling days 6-10. Was a pretty warm, Dewey run

As opposed to a Truman run?

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

James would have a field day with some of the long range gefs members

Nice to see a persistent signal at least. Waaaay out there still.

1 hour ago, Lava Rock said:

I'll take this 70F/low dew rest of the Summer.

Amen to that!

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Has anyone not installed? God help you

 

 

Soupy conditions are appearing likely Saturday night as dewpoints
rise in the 70s as surface warm front pushes through

Long Island Sound is our AC. We never install. We sea breeze.

3 minutes ago, BRSno said:

I don't have access to the EURO anymore, care to share what it's looking like? 

A nice severe look with a 990 low going up toward Montreal, but disappeared with 00z.

29 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Day 10 euro looks fun

Yeah that's a nice look for sure. 

3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Euro has 90+ in SNE by Sunday

1816 cancel?

2 hours ago, ineedsnow said:

6z gfs and nam bring our nor easter 

Canadian too.

982mb in the Gulf of Maine would be pretty deep for this time of year.

4 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Hit Trillium yesterday.,$245 ftl 

Worth it. I stopped in a few weeks ago and got some Four Point, Rooster, Scale and Congress St. Also their Oatmeal/coffee porter. It was a quasi-religious experience. 

32 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

http://Warm, sunny, tanning , winning 

Treehouse on the way home?

25 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Are we still just getting a couple showers this weekend with everything cleared out by Mother's Day?

The pattern just screams it. 

35 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Take er down!

 

Wow, that thing was a wizened old fella when Washington was chasing off the Redcoats. To think that tree was around before Columbus showed up blows my mind.

Get me some cold air and a nice Miller A in that baroclinic zone. Salivating.

Avant, a few items, largely piecemeal.

1) Do you know of any peer-reviewed literature out there that provide a percentage of warming that is directly attributable to Man’s activities? I’ve never seen anyone offer a quantitative breakdown or range.

2) The article you posted above states that the earth is even more sensitive to carbon dioxide than originally thought. Why then, since carbon emissions have been rising almost exponentially for decades with the rapid development of BRIC nations, has temperature maintained a more or less linear rate of increase? (Some might say there’s been a pause). Shouldn’t such sensitivity and strong correlation suggest we should have observed rapid temperature increase for some time?

3) You say emotional appeals are effective. Quite true. Propagandists throughout history, from Sam Adams to Joseph Goebbels, would vehemently agree with you. But if you have to resort to half-truths and hyperbolic claptrap, it almost argues that the science itself isn’t compelling. Hyperbole has no place in any field purporting to be scientific. Science requires a dispassionate, empirical approach wherein hypotheses are proposed, tested, refined, altered or rejected. Open debate with opposing viewpoints is healthy and essential for that refinement or rejection process. As Einstein said, “No amount of experimentation can prove me right, but a single experiment can prove me wrong.”

4) To say the “science is settled” assumes the whiff of religious dogma. How was it settled? Was an ecumenical council convened, as at Nicaea, to agree upon doctrine, orthodoxy, heresy, etc.? Are we to accept the council’s findings as a matter of faith? Suppression of opposing views is another vestige of religion. If such methods had survived the Middle Ages, we might still have a geocentric model of the Universe. Science is never settled. In some sense, there aren’t even laws, just models describing behavior, some of which work very well. Newton’s Laws worked perfectly for centuries, until they were found to break down in quantum mechanical and general relativistic scenarios.

Climate science remains in its infancy, as does our understanding of Earth’s staggeringly complex self-regulatory mechanisms. The interplay of every forcing and feedback mechanism is not well understood, and there may be other factors at work that remain to be discovered. So how does one put one’s faith in temperature projections for decades in the future, when even small initiation errors or incorrect assumptions compound dramatically as you step forward in time? Moreover, how can you expect the average lay person, with no interest in climate or weather, to believe long-term predictions when their weather forecasts bust all the time? Think of the public’s mistrust last year after the Euro’s epic bust during the blizzard in New York. That was the best weather model on Earth, using massive computing power and superior data assimilation, busting with a twenty four hour lead-time. 

By the way, I am not seeking to vitiate climate research. I believe Earth has warmed, that Man likely plays some role, and that we should firmly support incentivizing clean energy and conservation. I merely want to decouple the science from unhealthy extremism on both sides, the existential threat spewing alarmists and the anarchist hokesters alike. 

What a storm that was. I would've given anything to have been back home in Hamden for that one. It was awesome in Boston, too, but my mother called excitedly during that mega band to say it was hailing and she couldn't even see across the street. I told her it was called sleet, but apparently she was actually technically correct haha. Wish she'd measured the snowfall rate. Bet it was 4-5"/hr. And who could forget that NAM run that popped like 60"+ accumulations? Ah, memories.

It's been an amazing few years in the storm department. I never thought I'd see a period like late December '10 through January '11 again. I mean, Boxing Day, 9" norlun, two feet on Jan 12th, and 15" Jan 27 is tough to beat. And who could imagine that we'd have Feb '13, the crazy March '13 firehose, the frigid zero degree storms of '14 and the endless paradisiacal glory that was late January through mid-Feb '15? I've actually lost track of how many 12"+ snows I've seen over the last five years. Last winter sort of became a blur with the mega-SWFE and the 100 hour thing and the ocean effect enhancement and mood flakes every day. Glory days, no question.

Thanksgiving 1989 rings a bell. ACK got a foot out of it (in November nonetheless.) With Turkey Day in two weeks. Sorry for the crappy snow map.

I was five years old and I actually remember thinking how odd it was to have snow on Turkey Day.

On another note, does anyone remember how low the pressure got in that late March Cape storm in '14? I remember it was a monster at sea and just kind of scraped the islands with blizzard conditions. Was just trying to imagine what it could've been if it had phased a bit earlier. 

You'd never know there was a path cleared and a deck 5' below that drift. 2/15 storm.

I pine for it. Sad to think I'll probably never see anything close to it again, and that I'm so jaded now that I'll have to go to the high Sierras to be impressed by deep snow cover.

 -->   in God's good time.