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SleetStormNJ

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Everything posted by SleetStormNJ

  1. Thanks! Just wanted to say you are a real asset and resource to this board. Appreciate your contributions and thought analysis too! Keep us up to date on the model changes!
  2. Union/Middlesex/Somerset is not getting 19 inches of snow, lol. 8-14 range I can definitely see with an 80/20 balance on snow/sleet accum.
  3. I'm not too far from you. Very interested to see how we fare. Sometimes we win and win big riding the line and other times we get sleetfest (hence my sig/name).
  4. It seems to be a bit more extreme with the track/mid level warmth push than the other models. Worth watching for sure though.
  5. SG - How does the NAM usually do on thermals in these set ups? I recall it being hit or miss some events (some it nailed, others it came in too fast/warm).
  6. Yeah - it is something showing up a bit on all to one extreme or the other - that's why you're seeing a huge slug of sleet in the precip depictions even into parts of south-central/SE PA. Worth looking at tomorrow as the storm evolves and always a bit fun to track the handling of these lows.
  7. NAM is really kind of on it's own with just how extreme it's pushing the slot and best dynamics NW. GFS is also kind of on it's own with it's confluence/shunt to the East. EURO/UKMET blend seems like a wise evaluation at this juncture.
  8. Too early to make those calls........LC is just guessing.
  9. I’m getting concerned we may be in for some serious icing into the afternoon and early evening until it warms up just enough for cold rain.
  10. Heavy sleet where I am in Kenilworth/Cranford NJ area.
  11. 2.24 inches in Kenilworth NJ. Might even be undermeasured based on radar estimate.
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