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SleetStormNJ

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Everything posted by SleetStormNJ

  1. Hasn't stopped here in Union County NJ (sleet with light snow mix). Stuck in the stubborn band that might be trying to stretch/fill back in for awhile.
  2. Interested to see what develops later. Can see precip backbuild into NJ and some coastal effect taking shape. Even if light, should maintain the wintry feel rest of day into tonight.
  3. Yes - has done nicely off it's runs at 6z/12z today to match.
  4. Back to heavy snow again - think it's going to mix in but based on NAM looks like some areas will try to stay primarily snow mix (80-20/70-30).
  5. Heavy Snow/Sleet mix now. Pretty cool actually. Decent precip intensity.
  6. Mod to Heavy Snow now. 23.4 degrees. About 3.6" on ground as of 11:15am. Kenilworth, NJ.
  7. I'm in Union County NJ - west of City - can confirm all snow at least for now here. Will keep eye out and ears for pingers here.
  8. Yes. I don't get it. Every storm I see the big ole brine truck go up and down and around street 4-5 times. Does nothing. Even worse in my area is they've also pre-salted roads last few light events (didn't really do much to help) and now probably don't have enough salt left to treat roads if we get freezes next couple weeks or a storm or two in March.
  9. Mod snow in Kenilworth, NJ - about 1.5" on ground already. Missed the ruler spot, first time, LOL.
  10. Upton has wiggle room based on models this evening to extend warnings so folks are ready and aware in AM if the evolution and duration come into better agreement.
  11. Cautious based on the evolutions suggested, but I get it with the modeling currently - can always upgrade tonight/early tomorrow AM.
  12. Yup. Those are very much anomalous there and usually would occur in tremendous blocking environments that force tracks to slide underneath/bowling ball fashion and we get fringed. Happens, but not too often.
  13. Wow. Any thoughts on downstream impact to our neck of the woods and ENSO?
  14. There's model disagreement on storm evolution, but virtually all present snowy scenario on order of 4-8 inches with more possible in most capacities for metro area. That's the key takeaway to me - ingredients are there and there's going to be some smoothing right up to this evening as the storm takes shape over Southeast through lower OH Valley.
  15. I'm interested to watch how much we warm up west of the City. Temps have busted a bit low by few degrees and looks like the cold air is pressing in a bit quicker behind from the Lakes to come later this afternoon and evening.
  16. Much cooler here west of Hudson thus far so snowpack held remarkably well despite rain and absorbing/runoff of water. We'll see how much it takes a hit temps warm here but i think the expected warm surge close to 50s on modeling will bust a bit in in North/Central Jersey. Either way snowpack and piles was getting a bit dirty and disgusting amounts of salt were on the roads/lots the past week. Time for refresher Thursday perhaps/hopefully.
  17. We've had some volatile swings in late February into March over past 10 years (last year notwithstanding, but 2017 had some cold spells and a significant storm, 2018 a couple, and a bunch in 2019). Even back into 2013-2014 and 2014-2015 had some March events too.
  18. True Wintry Mix storm of decent duration on EURO. Prolonged snow with a bit of a thump for few hours with sleet mix and then some FRZ rain and light rain at end for some locales.
  19. Yup. Will be key to hone in late tomorrow and Wednesday as it gets closer.
  20. Event is still a good 72 plus hours away. Too much can slip in either direction and ingredients (PV, High), low placement and track have to be figured out over next 48 hours. That said, I still like this event for potential significance/impact. Not every storm can be a 1-2 foot behemoth. I've seen significant events surprise/wreak havoc because they get "downplayed".
  21. Great job by NWS. Kudos and thanks to them. They pretty much nailed it.
  22. When I said last weekend we were probably due in next 10-15 years for an 09-10 DC or Boston’s historic winter a few years back I didn’t expect to possibly see it over an entire month not within 15 days potentially.
  23. GFS has been somewhat consistently so far this winter too far SE with the precip/banding on last few storms. Even in last storm for NJ, there was a good 30-40 mile difference to NW of best/max banding.
  24. Yep. Showing up as impressive with moisture feed/jet. Also think the PNA help is here with this at moment as modeled.
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