Harry

Puking snow and the wind picking up. 

1 minute ago, Harry Perry said:

Really coming down here. Looking like we might be in the pivot zone, heavier totals may actually pan out. Already approaching an inch here. 
 

Got to tip my hat to the city. Plows already out. 

Looking for the TSSN!

Sidewalks and roads starting to cover up. 

Just now, Harry Perry said:

No I’ve been busy, just about to take a gander and the latest. 13”.. impressive. The 12z trends this morning had me thinking maybe this would end up further east. I do see there’s some 50-60mph gusts southwest of us.. makes me wonder if they would pull the trigger on blizzard warnings. This snow type isn’t usually very conducive of blowing and drifting, but with 45mph winds it would make up for the heavy water content in the snow, so it’s possible. They’ll probably keep things as-is being it’s a relatively short duration event. 

A matter of how much it falls below freezing? Temps had been expected to stay above freezing keeping it a wet snow. That should allow for the snow to blow with below freezing temps expected.  

27 minutes ago, Harry Perry said:

Flurries just starting here. 

Yep. Picking up. Light snow here. 

You see point and click now has a total of 13 here. With temps looking colder and below freezing I wonder if GRR ends up upgrading to blizzard warnings? 

Truthfully I cannot blame grr with the 6+ amounts vs a set range. P&C has ten while county/zone has 6-11. 

8 minutes ago, MidwestChaser said:

 

Edibles. 

Maybe because I seem to have a high immune system but those rarely do much for me? Now those damn pens or  ( whatever they are called ) will put me on my ass. I was at a female friends house ( one who I liked ) and her dad, sister, brother ( First time I met them ) was over and the dad got me to try it. I about ran out of that house. I know my stupid mouth. I was fubared. They giggled thier ass off as I choked on it. Never again. Atleast not in that situation. Lol 

Damn gfs another tick further se. Ughhh. 

1 hour ago, Jackstraw said:

5.5 inches final call here.

BTW I'm really high, I just saw a flying pizza.  

Goodbye cruel winter

I am about there with you on the high front. 

Heck even the euro ensembles have 1.25+ around here. 

56 minutes ago, Stebo said:

Euro didn't go nw though it's just lower ratio on the south fringe of the band. The low was the same. The ukmet was so far south it wasn't surprising to move.

Correct. Plus the higher qpf ended up over this way. Bound to change again on next run. Track now seems more stable on most models which is good for that area except maybe Monroe.. Downriver is always tricky. QPF is always a guessing game around these parts as well.

In the end we may all get to enjoy the death band across s.mi. jmho

All I can say in situations like this is prepare for the worst and hope for the best. You won't be as let down if it falters but will feel alot better if it goes right. 

I have been in a few of these and have seen it go both ways. 

Good luck to all. 

5 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said:

Still pretty big differences between gfs/Canadian/euro for dtw. Gfs/Canada is good. Euro/ukmet went nw on tonight's runs. Guess it's now cast time. I'd guess the bigger totals will be nw of detroit, although it's hard to go against the gfs as it's been more consistent than the euro 

If anyone over there had to worry it would be Josh but more so to the south. Kinda with Stebo on this. 

00z euro ftw! Incredible to see such totals this close in especially on that model! 1.75 here. 

Curious? Does anyone have qpf and or snowfall totals for the para euro? Yes they have one running on the site I use but no totals. Yes a euro upgrade coming. 

6 minutes ago, Harry Perry said:

Man can you imagine if the RDPS verified? 
 

You may wanna leave town if that happens.

5 minutes ago, LansingWeather said:

WSWarning issued for Michigan. Is it just me or has the information derived from the WSWarning's really gone down hill? When I was younger they went through a lot of the expected outcome in detail. This one just says "Snowfall greater than 6 inches possible". And thats basically it.

It's mainly this office I think. Plus they tend to go that route when it looks like the brunt of the storm is gonna miss Grand Rapids proper. There is one or two I have seen here and there that will go the full length regardless of where it hits. WDM was one of the best at it. Unfortunately he retired. 

The se trend can cease now. 

Just now, RCNYILWX said:

Cook County does have 3 zones, as does Will County. The evening shift opted to leave southern Cook out of the WSW, but did put in eastern Will.

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Ahhh. Good to know! Thanks! 

5 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said:

Surprised IWX didn't join in the upgrade of the watch to present a unified message with us to the west and GRR to their north and DTX to their northeast. I see they did put some counties into a WWA.

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You guys I am guessing are not allowed to split a county between warning and advisory? Thinking of Cook because the southern part most models still showing what I am guessing would be warning criteria amounts? 

4 minutes ago, Lightning said:

They included Monroe 

Yep. Just the two northern most counties went advisory with warning for all the rest. 

4 minutes ago, Stebo said:

I expect DTX to go warning for their entire watch except Monroe. 

Heck Cleveland just put Toledo under a advisory. So yeah I agree. 

3 minutes ago, Baum said:

I see LOT decided to issue warnings/advisories prior to rest of overnight runs. I don't disagree with calls, and really don't put  much credence in winter weather products, but surprised this move was made now. 

Yeah I am amazed GRR did the same. Advisory for Grand Rapids and nothing for the counties north of there. Basically advisory from Holland to Grand Rapids ene to Alma. Warnings just south of them including Lansing and all of i94. 

6 minutes ago, Chicago WX said:

LOT just pulled the trigger on a Warning for here. 4-8” with locally higher, and gusts in excess of 45 mph. 

And GRR just did the same here. Just says 6+ and winds gusting to 35mph.. 

3 minutes ago, Harry Perry said:

That would be nice.. also entirely possible with evaporative cooling/increasing wind. Will be fun to watch.

Considering walking to and from work as I'll be getting off during the peak. Only just 2.1 miles. Did it during the Nov Les event. 

Need to get rid of my old images so I can make space for new pics on here.