stormtracker
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Everything posted by stormtracker
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Still going at 6z Tuesday. All snow. light to mod
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Back to snow at 96
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850s up to frederick. SFC at 32 just along DC SE border
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Sleet at 90 for DC and south
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Still a little drier...oddly enough 850 south of DC, but north of NW VA...about the same as 18z
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Still seems a bit drier vs 18z so far...confluence is just a tiny bit more NE. Temps looks fine for now for DC metro and north unless theres some sneaky warm layer
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Starts around 1am Monday AM. Temp profile about the same at 81. Seems drier to the west of us vs 18z
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S/w stronger...2 countered vs 1 at 18z. Seems to be a trend tonight making the s/w a bit stronger
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Hair more amped, but base of s/w a hair south. Confluence about the same
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No remarkable changes through 48 hours
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Anyway, GFS running. Away we go
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If the GFS/Euro combo is good, Im good
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I mean, sure I like that output, but it's a shit model. I'm all in on Euro/GFS combo attm
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It's the ICON man.
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I mean, as someone living in upper NW DC...I'd rock that
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ICON is awful. Look what it did in 12 hours. It's shit yall
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NAM not gonna course correct until like 48 hours. Then it'll be too cold.
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See yinz in 45
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Incoming at 84 hours...32 line came north a bit. Like I said, slower than other guidance
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Finally starts around 3-4am
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NAM is slower than other guidance and even itself at 18z. 3z, still nothing
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Vort stronger...two countered now vs one on the 18z...
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So far, NAM seems much slower than 18z so far...
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It's indexed in K/U book of snowstorms and incorporated in the NESIS index
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S/w continues to be more amp'd out in front...should be mitigated by the ever so slight increase in confluence. We shall see.
