sussexcountyobs

It happens. I tend to usually do better with coastal being further east than you. We're over 53" for the season.

Final was 2.5" by me.

4am. Snow falling. 20° Everything including roads covered.

19.8/7.5

Winter weather advisory up for 3-4" of snow tomorrow.

Just measured 2.6" with light snow falling.

Taken with a grain of salt. My Wunderground forecast is calling for 24+ of snow, not counting today, till Feb. 22nd.

Just measured only 1.75" new here. Steady light snow. 30°

Moderate snow falling. Just measured. .7" new 27.8°

Mt Holly talked about that early yesterday morning when they dropped the WSW for coastal Ocean County.

Plow just came by spreading salt and grit.

Steady snow. Streets getting white.

Light snow falling now.

Temps seem alot warmer this morning than was forecast around the area.

Don't know about out in PA. But it is virga here in Vernon.

26F here. Locked and loaded, ready to go.

Let's all remember this call tomorrow afternoon.

So according to your forecast and snow map, here in NE Sussex County NJ we are 1-2" ?

Free.

Steve D. Put a video out around noon today. Not MIA?

FWIW. My forecast has been 3-5" for 2 days. On the NWS 4pm update, they raised the upside by 2". Now says 3-7". Alot of times when you are 12-16 hrs from event start time, it is time to stop relying so heavily on what models show run to run.

Alot of times when you are 12-16 hrs from event start time, it is time to stop relying so heavily on what models show run to run.

As per Mt. Holly 11am update Storm Details: Timing... In stark contrast to the system earlier this week, this will be a quick hitter with most of the precipitation being in and out of the area in about 12 hours. Precipitation should begin working into the area from SW-NE around 06-09Z with precipitation reaching far NW areas by 12-15Z. The system`s departure will also be rapid with precipitation largely ending from SW-NE between 18-21Z. Precipitation Types... Unlike the previous two significant winter events we had, there will not be a cold/dry antecedent airmass in place when precipitation begins early Sunday morning. Rather a "stale" airmass characterized by temperatures in the low 30s and dewpoints in the upper 20s/lower 30s will be in place. Additionally the heaviest snowfall will likely occur during the daytime hours, which while not overly significant in early February, can limit accumulations somewhat. The one pro for snowfall accumulations will be the intensity of lift within the aforementioned FGEN band, and dynamical cooling within this band should nudge temperatures down. Given all these factors, expect that areas NW of I-95 will see nearly all snow, areas near I-95 will likely see mostly snow, but could see some rain mix in at times (particularly when rates are low), with some mixing likely in southern Delmarva and the Coastal Plain of NJ. Given that we won`t really have a CAD setup in place think significant sleet is unlikely, although right at ptype transition zones we could see it briefly mix in. Snow Amounts... A very challenging forecast given uncertainties in both the northward extent of QPF, and the southward extent of accumulating snowfall. After a consistent northward/more amplified trend Thursday, there has been a bit of "windshield wipering" the last couple cycles with the low`s placement and thus the resulting placement of QPF/snowfall. The latest consensus is a low positioned a bit further SE of the 18Z suite`s consensus, which would place the I-95 corridor in the sweet spot of this event (i.e. the intersection of sufficiently cold profiles and sufficiently high QPF) and the current placement of the winter storm warning reflects this. However, any northward shifts would likely cut snow amounts (due to increased mixing) near and SE of I-95 while bumping up amounts in the NW, with the converse happening with a any southern shifts. But, assuming a perfect prog, amounts in the 4-7 inch range look likely in the vicinity of the I-95 corridor with 3-5 inch amounts buffering this on either side (where advisories are in place). The most significant modifications to the snowfall forecast with this package was near the coast, where a mix with rain looks likely and amounts will largely be under 2 inches. It should be noted that there is the potential for higher snowfall amounts within the band (where rates may approach 2 inches an hour), but would like to really get in the CAMs temporal wheelhouse (e.g. <24 hours) before increasing amounts further.

My forecast hasn't waivered since early yesterday morning. 3-5". We are only under WWA. I'd be happy with just 2" honestly. That would put me at 50" for the season. Plus, after this storm we have at least 3 snow potentials in the next week and a half. By mid February, I will maybe be at 60" or above. With 2nd half of February and all of March to go.

Can you imagine if Upton, or Mt. Holly changed their advisories or snow totals on every new model run that comes out every couple hours? The public's confusion would be epic. They would probably just be dismissed as pathetic. I know I would dismiss them. That's why they don't do it. Let's see what they say on the afternoon update.