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wasnow215

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Everything posted by wasnow215

  1. It's still not the GFS but everybody who said that the GFS was impossible I guess has to say it's not impossible now. Own it! Lol
  2. Thanks! Glad I could oblige!
  3. I mean it is my birthday! Lol
  4. Here's a fun game for people who are bored on here. Go on the main storm thread and count all the different ways people are saying the GFS is wrong. Do people not read other comments or do they just post their own thing like it's original? It's almost like when people say what the definition of insanity is like it's the first time it's ever been said. Lol!
  5. Exactly. I don't understand it's totally different than it was at 12 Z why was everybody so negative about the nam (and let's be clear), 84 hours out for Pete sake
  6. You're right -just messin. Not sure when the cuts happened but if you remember last year right around this date it might've been the day before today as we were heading towards possible snow, the GFS was always two or three cycles behind the Euro. And then it would line up. This is longer than that right now.
  7. The problem is though the GFS has been this way for several years now. Including when President Biden was in office. So maybe it still has some residuals, just can't seem to find its way, and wants to make things out to be better than they really are. It's fine though bc AI models are the "auto pen". ;-)
  8. This is where all of our "Ya wanna know the weather I'll tell you... just get up out of bed and look out the window. Whatever is going on outside that's what it is.", people, make fun of our weather hobby lol.
  9. It's beyond ridiculous the differences. Tomlinson had to go in Pittsburgh even though he was a staple there. GFS has to go too.
  10. If anybody didn't believe it then they haven't been paying attention to the difference in the modeling the last couple years. GFS is getting worse year to year, European is at least staying the same
  11. I've kind of lost respect for ensembles a little bit. Basically they just mirror the regular model runs just more spread out
  12. You never know and because you're on the coast if it sets up just a tiny bit south you're going to get blizzard conditions for sure. No matter how much snow falls
  13. I know how amazing it would be but I don't even agree with this to be honest with you. It has been so so bad even if we get half the snow it's showing and it's more than the other models, it's more of a "blind squirrel" thing to me at this point. A trend is more than one lol.
  14. GFS has been absolutely horrible for a couple years. But man it sure has been consistent with this I expected it to fold today and it probably still will but it's an absolute nuke for everybody including us at 12 Z
  15. It started last year especially. Every time it showed something it would end up mirroring the European model even when the European model would go back-and-forth... it always took about two cycles but it would always end up mirroring it. It's just terrible the GFS -nobody can convince me otherwise at this point. And yes I do think the Canadian model is better at this point and the Ukie
  16. Some of the upper atmosphere stuff of the other models including the euro are starting to come around probably not to that extreme but maybe it'll be something in between.
  17. That seems like a very reasonable answer and thank you! So would you say it would be smart more to lean more on those "big 3" 5 to 7 days out of any event or other reasons people would look at medium range forecasts like travel, vacations, etc? Also do you think the GEM n Ukie should be given more credence than the GFS in the same time frame?
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