GFS was also much improved 18z-which is what my point is don't those two models alone (Euro and GFS) give more confidence than all the little nickel and dime models
It's really not about enthusiasm. But we shall see -even the winter storm warnings are much better than the picture you just painted. The verbiage of them and the amounts.
am I wrong that the main models are much snowier here for us than the short term models?
NAM way better than 18z. Can we be honest?? Like really honest?? NAM is JUST coming into range and HRRR and SREF's are just terrible weather models period. Even during storms!
I thought the CMC looked better too -I've been kind of running around today and I have to work in a little bit but it looks like the CMC gave us some more frozen
I think many of us will see 3 inches before it actually mixes. At least 2 inches for sure with that beginning thump. There's 2 to 3 inches right there. And then another one to 2 inches on the backside makes it 3 to 5 inches and that's my call