wx2fish
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Everything posted by wx2fish
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Pretty nasty run for BOS. 32F around 12z with close to .5-.75" qpf after
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Could be a pretty high impact period tomorrow morning. Even at BOS, from an aviation perspective, mod sleet or heavier is a no go.
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It was decent too, maybe a hair slow, esp south of PIT. There was less disagreement there than there than here. Tough and interesting call around here. If we do get a meso going and solid NE flow, it may very well tuck better into E MA than further west, atleast initially.
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GFS was actually pretty good near PIT this morning (had to forecast there last night). GFS was a couple degrees too warm but showed the arrival of 32F better than hrrr. Doesnt mean it right here though.
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Not really sure what to make of it. Most of the warmer runs like the hrrr are still really cold eventually once it does surge south. Euro just kinda pushes it all south at like 30-31F
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The differences in sfc Ts are pretty wild. 18z Euro may even have the sfc front slightly south of the gfs, but the gfs is just ridiculously cold north of the front
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Yeah looked like pretty similar to me, just a tad less qpf across NNE
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That's a nice cold tuck into E MA on the hrrr. If we get the meso oriented like that it's gonna be a violent drop. NE G25-30KT near the NH seacoast.
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We have somewhat course internal soundings, but the warmest layer appears to be 750-800. MHT area is a paint peeler 7-11z, and the warm layer is right around 0C by 12z.
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What a funky looking run. Would drop the grid somewhere in SNE. I'll sell 3-4" qpf though
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Ukie is colder than 12z. More gfs-ish
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Yeah I was guessing there must've been a gradient there. My inlaws live in east Haverhill near the river and it wasn't bad. Ice increased rapidly near the NH border
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It had the right idea in the 2-4 day time period, but it went from like 2.2" qpf here to 1" in 1 or 2 runs in the last 36hr.
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Coldest morning so far, -7. A decent fresh pack makes such a difference
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The way the low elongates you get some semblamce of a meso low that run, actually does try to tuck pretty violently here on NE winds
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Yep quite a bit warmer this run
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I haven't looked at soundings, but the low level cold push looks strong. Wonder if it trends into more sleet vs freezing rain except for a fairly narrow area. Unless we see things trend back northward, which is possible.
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Canadian looks a touch south of 0z. Sfc front stays hung up across SNE before shifting south
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Gonna go with 13". It was fairly consistent in my flat sheltered yard. Already compacted over an inch since last night.
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It's been especially bad since he moved there. This area can do well, but it hasn't been a good run. The biggies in 2018, 2015, and 2013 were all great for ASH/Methuen. It's just been a real bad stretch, no denying it. I think just north of us got the real hose in this one. Coworker in Hooksett said he only got 5".
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Time to sneak into to the neighbors sheltered yard to find out.
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Yeah I feel like this is almost cheating but I'll take it. Always have to put out the friends and family forecast and was resigned to somewhat of a bust, but not anymore haha
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Actually undersold that a bit. More like 11-12" after measuring. Really has been pounding.
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It's a good thing he's sleeping. Though I am pounding on the eastern edge. Up to 10-11"
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9.8". +SN. Piling up the fluff the paste 1-2 hours after hours of sand.
