Mikeymac5306

Looked like a tick north on the Euro. Beginning not to matter now as the general consensus it locked in. Down to where the heaviest line IMBY snow sets up. 

A nice 4-6" drop will work.

1 hour ago, Duca892 said:

Since Monday’s storm has been relegated to very “meh” anything else floating around currently storm wise?

The 11th is the next thing we will watch. The signal is there for a SECS as of now. 

Fantasy land has a Cleveland Steamer that looks like Ice to start. Again it's fantasy land. 

Jackpot line to me looks like RT. 422 south. 

Nice little coating on the grass and wet roads.  Road crews jonesing for that OT on top of this one.  30 degrees at home in Exton. Snow looks like it has stopped here. 

Did we get NAM'd?  

6 minutes ago, JTA66 said:

Have a coating of powdered sugar on all unpaved surfaces.

20 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Agreed. I really like where we sit right now, thinking this has a terrific shot at being a region wide warning event. 

Yeah I think this is ticking up and down next 24 hrs and after 12z tomorrow we can start to nail down the bullseye areas. 

3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

GFS is working on our HECS for the 16th it just can’t quite put it together. 

Looks like back to back MECS then HECS lol. 

This sucks. On to the Euro...

J/K. 

Nice move north. Puts Turnpike south almost in the bullseye. 

Not for nothing but I would keep an eye open for a sqaull tomorrow. Looks like enough to coat the roads. 

6 hours ago, LVblizzard said:

Euro ticked south a little. Still 3-6” for most of us.

Looks juicier too. 6z GFS comes back a scotch north. 

Tons of suppression long range. Congrats NC/Tennessee. 

2 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

18z euro is a hit for Philly 1/6 big jump n

Surprised it made a jump this early. Was expecting it come Friday

FWIW fantasy land does bring a monster up the coast and misses by about 150 miles east. 

The 18Z run sucked. Keeps it south and we get 1-2 inches at best.  It does look like it comes in faster which I think would help for the 11th storm but then that one shoves off the GA coast and never turns north. 

4 minutes ago, penndotguy said:

I think being in the bullseye this far out is dangerous, at least for us it is. Plenty of time to go I think tomorrow we start to see guidance get better sampling, or could just be wishful thinking. 

I think by 12z Friday we will know for sure where the bullseye will set up. Then it's just tweaking from there on out. 

4 minutes ago, ChescoWx said:

 

 

The chances this 12z run of models is the actual solution.....slim and none!

Yep! Just the ebb and flow of each model OP run is what makes everything interesting.  Still 6 days away from this and The guidance is telling me is a lot better than each OP run. No need to jump after one failed run. 

4 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said:

People are cliff jumping in here over the euro? Looks great still - again, the goal posts are set. VA NC border to Central PA. I like where we sit right now being 5-6 days out

We don't want to be too suppressed like this run shows correct? I mean a little bit and theres plenty of time to tick north. Too much makes it look it a complete miss. 

CMC shows a no miss for 1/6 As does the UKIE

6z shifted the 1/11 sotrm back to the coast. Still little suppressed for my liking. Not the monster we saw on yesterday's run. Plenty of time. 

1 hour ago, stormtracker said:

6z GFS at 276 for the win. A fantasy Folks.  
 

I-95 Miller A KU. That H5 map is what dreams are made of.  Enjoy it for 6 hours and then let’s get back to reality and focus on the 6th. 

Looked like Euro AI was showing it too just a few miles more east though. 

Helloooo gorgeous...  

4 hours ago, JTA66 said:

Dallas sucks!
 

Seriously! We’re down to our third string quarterback and it’s a blowout 

Cowboys been phoning it in once Dak got hurt. Fans could have cared less when that happened. 

Eagles lock up the 2 seed. I mean only reason to play the starters next week would be to see if Barkley can get the record. 

Looking like the Packers, or Commanders in round 1. 

Looks like the 06 runs back off the nuke and put emphasis on the 1/6 event.  We all know the OP runs will change as we roll along. The ensembles still have everything in place for two storms from 1/6-1/11

5 minutes ago, MGorse said:

The 00z run will probably have nothing. 

I mean the Euro had a similar monster storm last week so yeah. 

At least the signals have been consistent for a while now.  

Holy Hanna 18Z GFS!!!!