Mikeymac5306

5 hours ago, RedSky said:

All 3" of it

 

Yeah too far south and too far out as of right now.  The trends are north though right?  It's trackable. 

13 minutes ago, zenmsav6810 said:

Wiggum criteria for 2/14?

ICON is the only thing right now showing a borderline mix. GFS and CMC show a fringed rain storm. 

Still a week out so this has time to change 

4 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

Nobody from another forum is allowed to mess with or troll us!!

1 hour ago, Ji said:

It’s better than knowing

Nobody knows if they don't know anything or not. 

41 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

I know I took a break at the right time when I return and the chat is focused on Kamu's shrinking snow pile, honeybees, and sunflower seeds/millet/wild bird food.

Nothing has changed from the thought I posted last week. Tantalizingly close tease 12th-15th (still think more wet than white, could be wrong). Pattern change happens at HL....stj becomes active and kicks a wave under us (suppressed?) 18th-20th. Bigger shortwave in the stj moves east after the 21st and will likely be the first legit threat for a juiced southern storm 23rd give or take. Then weeklies Continue the look into the first part of March with maybe a pattern-ending large threat as the calendar flips...give or take a couple days....but that is wayyyy out in fantasy land. 

Biggest takeaway for now....patience still. Not over yet. 

384 hrs away from another great run at 384 hrs. Keep fighting the good fight!

23 hours ago, rclab said:

Liberty you just triggered me to look it up. Old saying, ‘necessity is the mother of invention’. Stay well, as always …..

 

Looks like one of those drippy sand castles you make at the beach. 

46 minutes ago, hazwoper said:

Kind of already over winter TBH.  LR models show some below average temps, but really the overall pattern doesn't favor many decent shots at storms through 2/17.  I mean, I'd take a late month storm, but not holding my breath and honestly after all this cloud cover, I am ready for spring and summer.

The Valentines Day storm (ish) has been all over the place last two day runs.  Meh.

Yeah, I check out around President's Day and get antsy about how bad my garage looks from the Winter waiting for the warmth, and longer days. 

I said in the MA forum we were  384 hrs away from another great 384 hr run on the ensemble models and almost got crucified.  

24 minutes ago, 87storms said:

March is gonna be awesome.

Just 384 hrs away from looking at another awesome run at 384hrs. It's gonna rock! 

6 hours ago, Ji said:

2nd time today gfs shows snow in the window

Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk
 

You might not want to see the 6Z runs then... 

Had a few flurries blow past here. 36 degrees.

If your looking for something way out in the boonies, GFS fantasy land had a Valentines Cleveland Steamer this morning to a nice SECS off OC Maryland on the 12Z..

Hey, it looks trackable. 

10 hours ago, KamuSnow said:

Yeah, looking at the forecast it's going to be a pretty boring week. Models aren't exactly encouraging in the near term either. But the weenie in me sees this calm period as a lead up to some interesting weather. 

The ensembles scream storm but it's hard to get all amped up for Hrs 384-507.  

11 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

Nope, massive 2nd half collapse...poor fans.

Yeah. Pressure got to them.

Coach didn't help by going for it twice on 4th down instead of kicking for points.  

Did not expect this from Detroit!   Hopefully they can keep it going.

5 hours ago, RedSky said:

We lost the snow 

And that cold wave next week-gone

 

Yeah . Kinda knew there was nothing doing on the overnight models as there wasn't much action in any of the reginal forums. 

GFS only model showing a nice Boston Special next weekend with some wrap around flakes for us here. 

1 hour ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

I think you mean the time that Gen. Washington surprised the Hessian troops at Pearl Harbor and prevented them from bombing it! 

I thought the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor... 

1 hour ago, Weather Will said:

WB Day 11 GFS.... parade of storms with temps cooling ahead of schedule.... buckle up!!!!!

Looks like a double barrell shot for that time with another southern slider in tow on fantasy range.  Close enough off shore to make it trackable. Cold air looks to be in place as well. 

See what happens today if the trends keep pushing south. 

Couple close calls coming in the long range. Looks like the cold is there to help out.  After this week, things are popping again!

27 degrees. 

Winter was a fun two weeks right? Better than last year. 

Looks to dry out and calm down after the 1st for a bit. 

We can begin to track again between the 10th-20th of February and thats about it unless we get a freak March storm which most of them maybe cold turns into white rain. 

Moderate snow for the last hour here in Exton. 28 degrees.

2 hours ago, Duca892 said:

Hope these South shifts stop. Was looking forward to a nice 4in

Wish My wife would tell me this. 

29 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

Looks like winter ends Tuesday. A week of winter. Not bad compared to the past few winters. On to spring.

Temperatures spiked this morning to 18.  Vast improvement from yesterday.

Weather Sentry has a 5" solid hit for MBY tomorrow.  We'll have to see where the bands set up. 

Looks like the Bermuda high is parked there for the next 7-10 days afterward dragging up those Cleveland steamers.

Everyone take a break and reload in two weeks. I was told to "buckle up" in February.   

Was 11 when I walked into work. Now down to Noine. 

I mean honestly. Once it gets below 20, it's just cold. 

We could have a Chester County jackpot Friday looking at the NAM.  

10 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said:

9/1 currently. Lovely morning. 

That 12 spot in Atlanta is likely doing some damage. Not sure what the “r” values are down that way. 

Same as Jersey for the most part with regards to stud walls and ceilings. 

1 hour ago, RedSky said:

GFS manages to make a winter storm during the relax period next week I give it Xtra credit

Thats a lot of mess if it holds.