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JC-CT

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Everything posted by JC-CT

  1. JC-CT
    Aren't all the runs based in part on the previous run?
  2. JC-CT
    It gets airplane data but no balloons. Either way, it gets only satellite data over bumpfk canada.
  3. JC-CT
    shaken? Do you have money riding on this?
  4. JC-CT
    I always forget they started running that.
  5. JC-CT
    Lol I meant uncertainty, but yeah.
  6. JC-CT
    Uncertainty really makes some people uncomfortable. Not the hobby to be involved in then.
  7. JC-CT
    Thermals, especially in the BL, are far better than the last go-around.
  8. JC-CT
    Everyone knows blue = snow and green = rain. What was he thinking? I agree, I think right now, caveat obviously could change (not for you), the consensus of best available guidance is what you describe.
  9. JC-CT
    I can't even find a town where the northern s/w is located at 18z. Fort Simpson? lol https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fort_Simpson
  10. JC-CT
    The southern shortwave was actually pretty robust this run. That is what I initially saw early in the run. It was the northern energy that wasn't as sharp, hence the more rounded turn. The fact that the southern s/w is looking good is a good thing, considering it was over Wyoming at 18z.
  11. JC-CT
    18z tomorrow. Our canadian energy actually gets into a decent sampling area.
  12. JC-CT
    lol three times too
  13. JC-CT
    I dunno. I actually like the main l/w trough this run, but the timing of the s/w was off.
  14. JC-CT
    Positives and negatives to that run for sure.
  15. JC-CT
    I do wish that southern stream s/w wouldn't drag its feet so much
  16. JC-CT
    I think you know the answer to that question.
  17. JC-CT
    Just gotta look where those isobars are pointing.
  18. JC-CT
    Based on hour 9, I would be surprised if the GFS didn't show something pretty good. I guess I'll allow the run to continue though.
  19. JC-CT
    Yes
  20. JC-CT
    No I got you. I'm saying I've noticed the 3km will sometimes show a completely different solution than the 12km, to the point where you scratch your head and wonder if they are really the same model.
  21. JC-CT
    NAM was fine through the berks. 3km even better.
  22. JC-CT
    That's not my experience with the NAM.
  23. JC-CT
    What?
  24. JC-CT
    I was about to scold you for gross exaggeration, but then I took a look at 500mb and there is really no argument that you are correct. Verbatim
  25. JC-CT
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