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VABILLUPS1

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  1. VABILLUPS1
    12-26-10, let's do it again
  2. VABILLUPS1
    About 7" IMBY - Va. Beach. GDPS/RGEM definitely the winner on this one. Was rock steady while most of the other models wavered back and forth. Great event.
  3. VABILLUPS1
    Best rates of the night in Va. Beach now. I think we'll easily make 6" here, maybe a bit more.
  4. VABILLUPS1
    Va Beach - nice. Probably close to 2" now with hours to go. Been 4 years since we had one like this.
  5. VABILLUPS1
    Welcome back NAM
  6. VABILLUPS1
    Well if there’s any question we’re going to find out about these models in these next couple of days. NAM-GFS vs RGEM/CMC/ECMWF/ICON/UK
  7. VABILLUPS1
    I'm stunned - I have no idea what's going to happen. NAM-GFS are out, ICON/RGEM holding steady. I'll just wait and see at this point.
  8. VABILLUPS1
    This is a total wow. I have never seen a system fall apart this fast and this close to the event. Whoever is programming these models needs to study this one. My goodness.
  9. VABILLUPS1
    Man, all I can say looking at the NAM, the RGEM and the GFS I'm glad I'm not making this forecast. Huge differences in all these models. NAM = 15 inches, RGEM = 8 inches, GFS = 3 inches for my location.
  10. VABILLUPS1
    About 30 hours continuous snow on the 12z NAM for SE Virginia from around midnight Friday to Saturday morning - model now combines the FROPA snow and the 2nd wave. Close to an all-timer if it verifies.
  11. VABILLUPS1
    12z NAM - two words for SE Virginia - GOOD GOD
  12. VABILLUPS1
    We got get one every once in a while. I think you folks will do well too even if the system stays this flat. These things tend to get wetter as we get closer to the event and you guys are going to be so cold you will have 15-20:1 ratios.
  13. VABILLUPS1
    I'm under that 21 in Va. Beach so, yeah, nice run. I'll sign for a quarter of that right now.
  14. VABILLUPS1
    0z GFS, CMC and UKMET all with the classic weak southern slider. Very common in a Nina. Inside of 5 days now - we'll see if it holds up.
  15. VABILLUPS1
    Keep hope alive:
  16. VABILLUPS1
    Norfolk, VA with the daily double - record high of 102 and record hi-min of 82. The all-time hottest July record of +3.5 above normal will be shattered with a departure of +5 or more this month. Fifth 100+ day this month including four in a row from the 19th-22nd. I would say this will be a July to remember but I fear it's just a preview of what will be normal in 10-20 years.
  17. VABILLUPS1
    Also the high minimum record for 7/21 was tied at 80F and that record was set just last year. There have been 16 high minimum records set in July at ORF just since 2000 and another 3 were set in 1999. There’s no global warming though.
  18. VABILLUPS1
    Interesting bay enhanced snow showers later tonight Southside HR. NAM has it going through noon tomorrow.
  19. VABILLUPS1
    12z Jan 14 Euro at ORF 1/20 - 1p - 63F 1/20 - 7p - 28F 1/21 - 7a - 13F I've lived here my whole life and I thought and I had seen everything possible other than a Cat. 3 hurricane but I have never seen a 50 degree temp change in 18 hours. Will be interesting to see if it verifies.
  20. VABILLUPS1
    Gonna be right on the edge in HR metro. Key will be how long it takes for the changeover from rain or rain/snow mix to all snow. Certainly looks like a couple of inches at least but could be a lot more if that changeover occurs quick enough. Somewhere around N.News to Suffolk or Wakefield area is going to jackpot with 6+.
  21. VABILLUPS1
    18z CMC jumps on board. Much higher QPF right on the coast - P-types not out yet but certainly a good bit of snow in there.
  22. VABILLUPS1
    12z Euro just went HAM - 6"+ for most of southside HR and NE NC but super sharp cut-off. Peninsula only 1-3" nothing for RIC but getting closer.
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