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VABILLUPS1

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Everything posted by VABILLUPS1

  1. VABILLUPS1
    Everyone says the la nina causes the ever present southeast ridge that has obliterated this winter but is it possible it's the other way around? With the warming waters of the atlantic, is it possible we're in a feedback loop where the warm water promotes a ridge which then promotes further warming of the waters and sets up the pattern which leads to la nina?
  2. VABILLUPS1
    Ripping pretty good in Va Beach now - 32F. Probably about an inch down. Let’s see if we can get this band to pivot and hold in here as the coastal strengthens.
  3. VABILLUPS1
    Mod snow - Va Beach 32F. Maybe a half-inch down, street just starting to go snow covered now.
  4. VABILLUPS1
    Mod snow Va. Beach - 33F
  5. VABILLUPS1
    Snow mixing in - Va Beach 34F
  6. VABILLUPS1
    Euro caves to the GFS again. It’s a new world
  7. VABILLUPS1
    A little improvement on that run for the GFS but still out there on its own for the most part. We'll just have to bow down if it pegs this one.
  8. VABILLUPS1
    Rock steady RGEM - it will win again.
  9. VABILLUPS1
    Man, GFS and NAM not even on the same planet. Epic model battle.
  10. VABILLUPS1
    Three words for old-timer snow fans in SE Virginia- Blizzard of ‘80. That’s what the NAM is showing. The downside? It’s the NAM. Real interested to see what the RGEM shows tonight. If that jumps on board we may have something historic here.
  11. VABILLUPS1
    Remember it was Wednesday 18z NAM that lost the storm last week and eventually brought it back so it will probably be the same this week to some degree but I think the SC to Maine blizzard idea is off the board. Not just because of the NAM but all the guidance today. The thing just gets going too late for anybody south of NJ/NYC to really cash in.
  12. VABILLUPS1
    What is wrong with the Euro? I mean, has the atmosphere changed or something.
  13. VABILLUPS1
    The Canadians never lost it
  14. VABILLUPS1
    The Canadian has cancelled the big event. Just some light snows on the coast, gets going too late. I'd love to toss it but the Canadian models really handled last week the best so we'll see.
  15. VABILLUPS1
    Looks great but I have to wonder if the Euro is overdoing the trough the way it was about this time last week with the last storm.
  16. VABILLUPS1
    12-26-10, let's do it again
  17. VABILLUPS1
    About 7" IMBY - Va. Beach. GDPS/RGEM definitely the winner on this one. Was rock steady while most of the other models wavered back and forth. Great event.
  18. VABILLUPS1
    Best rates of the night in Va. Beach now. I think we'll easily make 6" here, maybe a bit more.
  19. VABILLUPS1
    Va Beach - nice. Probably close to 2" now with hours to go. Been 4 years since we had one like this.
  20. VABILLUPS1
    Welcome back NAM
  21. VABILLUPS1
    Well if there’s any question we’re going to find out about these models in these next couple of days. NAM-GFS vs RGEM/CMC/ECMWF/ICON/UK
  22. VABILLUPS1
    I'm stunned - I have no idea what's going to happen. NAM-GFS are out, ICON/RGEM holding steady. I'll just wait and see at this point.
  23. VABILLUPS1
    This is a total wow. I have never seen a system fall apart this fast and this close to the event. Whoever is programming these models needs to study this one. My goodness.
  24. VABILLUPS1
    Man, all I can say looking at the NAM, the RGEM and the GFS I'm glad I'm not making this forecast. Huge differences in all these models. NAM = 15 inches, RGEM = 8 inches, GFS = 3 inches for my location.
  25. VABILLUPS1
    About 30 hours continuous snow on the 12z NAM for SE Virginia from around midnight Friday to Saturday morning - model now combines the FROPA snow and the 2nd wave. Close to an all-timer if it verifies.
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