bkviking
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Everything posted by bkviking
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1.33” here in Smithtown.
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Heavy rain persisting here in Port Jefferson, LI.
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In Smithtown I show a 96° - I have to think that’s more anomalous but PSV and CFA who are somewhat local to me in 90’s corroborates at least 90. See if Ed in Smithtown posts on this one.
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Storms appear to be firing across LI near sea breeze boundary just north of LIE (blue line across LI)
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Port Jefferson - looking northeast from Danfords. Sad - restaurant is empty due to this crappy rain day - we had a bunch of annoying showers here today. Can’t make up for this now - they lost a day of business. This area has been hit with a lot of these annoying showers lately. El Niño summer sucks.
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It does finally look good for you.
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Been crappy in Port Jefferson area. Non stop off and on showers. The one thing I didn’t like about the incoming Nino was this kind of crap seems to happen during Nino summers. 2009 was a nightmare. During this whole period from days before solstice to now - rarely a sunny day to have a nice sunset , especially when they’re at their latest. Just wasted. Losing a minute per day now.
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86°F / 76°DP. Smithtown. Really first real swamp day of the season.
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In Smithtown and I’m already .39” with another isolated shower possibly about to scrape me.
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July 2023 temperature forecast contest
bkviking replied to Roger Smith's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
DCA +1.0 NYC +0.9 BOS +0.9 ORD +1.1 ATL +0.9 IAH +2.0 DEN +2.2 PHX 2.2 SEA +1.4 -
Several of those years stick out as El Niño years. Is that majority ?
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We are well within range and live a few blocks from one another - so your reading corroborates with mine pretty well. Healthy drink today so I won’t be watering the herbs and plants . Lol
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Smithtown LI - my weather station shows .62” from storms today. I’m out east in Port Jefferson and storms keep forming and cutting a little west of me here (into Setauket). Another one on way now. I know family has heavy rain further east into Shoreham area also a short while ago.
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In Smithtown, LI I have .41” for the day today with that batch of showers that came through around noon. Add .06” yesterday.
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That big radar blob came right at me in Smithtown last night so ended up with .64”. We take.
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DCA +0.7 100 NYC +0.9 99 BOS +0.5 98 ORD +0.2 97 ATL -0.2 97 IAH +1..5 99 DEN 0.8 100 PHX 1.6 120 SEA +1.4 95
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The look in Port Jefferson over the harbor looks like a classic heat wave end of July into August. Slight smoky smell but my nose ain’t the greatest, so probably worse.
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I am a NYC subforum member but since I’m on LI I spend a lot of time in NE subforum and I must say we should give credit to @Typhoon Tip for having speculated about ENSO “normal “ influences due to new state of SST anomalies. He’s been saying this for years and now with discussion of “RONI” it’s pretty clear Tip was onto something.
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1.6” here in central LI - Smithtown . Wind driven rain now. Screw this incoming El Niño. They ruin springs and summers. Smell 2009, 2003 type garbage incoming and don’t care for it.
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May 2023 temperature forecast contest
bkviking replied to Roger Smith's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
DCA -1.1 NYC -1.2 BOS -0.8 ORD +0.1 ATL -0.2 IAH -0.3 DEN +1.3 PHX +1.5 SEA +0.8 -
Port Jefferson - with an awesome unique sunset
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What you just said makes sense - because by September the rising motion in Atlantic , while still there, has tailed off. I don’t know.
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I’m curious to ask about following photos from Ben Noll on Twitter showing the rising and sinking motion forecasts this month, next, June, then September - with a sudden change in June - which continues on his tweet all summer. This is due to El Niño circulation beginning to take over. My question is , with all the rising motion in East Pacific forecast why does Atlantic also show rising motion ? Shouldn’t the circulation suppress convection there? Any idea what this means - as this is modeled? Does this indicate possibly more active Atlantic hurricane season than normal ?
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In Port Jefferson it started nice but “drizzery” is here and suddenly much cooler.
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April 8, 2024 is going to be last full widespread eclipse for many of us on this board. At this point it’s about pinpointing the best possible viewing conditions. Sadly , the Ohio valley and northeast Great Lake region is known for cloudiness. So where is it good ? Southwest Texas is the best spot it seems based on these maps but can track as we head into year.
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